A Look At Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) Valuation After Recent Share Price Volatility

Simply Wall St.01-23 10:26

AdvertisementWhy Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) is on investors’ radar today Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) has drawn fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock ...

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See our latest analysis for Bright Horizons Family Solutions. At a share price of $93.95, Bright Horizons Family Solutions has seen short term share price pressure, with a 30 day share price return of 5.64% and a year to date share price return decline of 5.39%. The 1 year total shareholder return decline of 20.25% contrasts with a 3 year total shareholder return gain of 23.39%, suggesting longer term holders have had a different experience to recent buyers. If this childcare and education provider has caught your eye, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist with healthcare stocks as another way to source ideas. With the shares under pressure over 1 year but annual revenue and net income growth in place, the key question now is whether Bright Horizons is being undervalued or whether the market is already pricing in future growth. Price-to-Earnings of 26.5x: Is it justified? At a last close of $93.95 and a P/E of 26.5x, Bright Horizons Family Solutions trades at a richer earnings multiple than both its Consumer Services industry and peer averages. The P/E ratio compares the share price to earnings per share, so a higher figure often reflects the market placing a premium on current and future profits for this childcare and workplace solutions provider. For Bright Horizons, that premium sits against several data points. Earnings growth over the past year is described as strong, both versus its own 5 year trend and relative to the wider Consumer Services industry. Earnings are also forecast to grow, although not at very high levels and at a pace that is indicated as slightly slower than the broader US market. Against that, the stock is flagged as expensive when measured against an estimated fair P/E ratio of 21.7x, which suggests a level the market could move toward if sentiment or expectations cool. Compared with the US Consumer Services industry average P/E of 16.9x and a peer average of 18.4x, the current 26.5x multiple stands out as meaningfully higher. This points to the market paying a clear premium for Bright Horizons earnings today versus both its sector and closest comparables. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Bright Horizons Family Solutions Result: Price-to-Earnings of 26.5x (OVERVALUED) However, you also have to weigh risks such as the recent 1 year total shareholder return decline of 20.25% and a 5 year total shareholder return decline of 39.77%. Find out about the key risks to this Bright Horizons Family Solutions narrative. Another View: What the SWS DCF model suggests While the 26.5x P/E points to an expensive stock, our DCF model paints a very different picture. On that view, Bright Horizons at $93.95 is trading at a large discount to an estimated future cash flow value of $243.49 per share, which indicates potential undervaluation. That is a big gap between what earnings multiples and cash flow estimates suggest, so the central question is which signal you trust more: the market’s current multiple, or the long term cash flow view. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. BFAM Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Bright Horizons Family Solutions for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 878 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Bright Horizons Family Solutions Narrative If you look at these numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a personalised view in just a few minutes with Do it your way A great starting point for your Bright Horizons Family Solutions research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Bright Horizons has you thinking harder about where to put your money next, do not stop here. Widen your search before the next move passes you by.  Scan for potential value by checking out these 878 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might be trading at prices that do not fully reflect their underlying cash flows. Tap into fast moving themes in technology by reviewing these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence trends. Strengthen your income focus by considering these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3% alongside equity exposure.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Bright Horizons Family Solutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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