Is CK Hutchison (SEHK:1) Pricing Reflect Its Strong Recent Share Price Performance?

Simply Wall St.01-22

This article examines whether CK Hutchison Holdings is attractively priced at its current level, or if the recent strength has already reflected much of its value, by breaking down what the numbers ...

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With the share price at HK$61.35 and returns of 3.5% over 7 days, 12.6% over 30 days, 13.6% year to date, 60.9% over 1 year, 46.0% over 3 years, and 41.8% over 5 years, many investors are considering whether the current price is consistent with its fundamentals. Recent news about CK Hutchison has focused on its role as a diversified conglomerate across infrastructure, retail, telecommunications, and ports. This helps frame how investors view its resilience and income profile. Market commentary has also highlighted how this mix of businesses can influence sentiment when broader conditions change or when capital allocation decisions draw attention. On our valuation checklist CK Hutchison scores 2 out of 6. Next, we will walk through traditional valuation approaches such as discounted cash flow (DCF) models and multiples, and then finish with a broader way of thinking about what the current price might not fully reflect.  CK Hutchison Holdings scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: CK Hutchison Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today’s value to estimate what the business might be worth right now. For CK Hutchison Holdings, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on cash flow projections in HK$. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about HK$37.7b. Analysts provide forecasts for several years ahead, and then Simply Wall St extrapolates further. For example, free cash flow is projected at HK$39.1b in 2026 and HK$41.1b in 2027, with ten year projections reaching HK$51.8b in 2035. Aggregating and discounting these projected cash flows gives an estimated intrinsic value of HK$139.62 per share, compared with the current share price of HK$61.35. On this basis, the model suggests the shares trade at a 56.1% discount to the DCF estimate, which indicates a material gap between price and this cash flow based valuation. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests CK Hutchison Holdings is undervalued by 56.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 879 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. 1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for CK Hutchison Holdings. Approach 2: CK Hutchison Holdings Price vs Earnings For a profitable company like CK Hutchison Holdings, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to relate what you pay per share to the earnings that each share generates. It helps you see how many years of current earnings the market is effectively pricing in. What counts as a reasonable P/E depends on what investors expect for growth and how they view risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk often goes with a lower P/E. CK Hutchison currently trades on a P/E of 30.38x, compared with an Industrials sector average of 12.83x and a peer group average of 27.42x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for CK Hutchison of 19.78x. This Fair Ratio is designed to reflect what P/E might make sense given the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risks. Because the Fair Ratio brings these company specific factors together, it can be more informative than a simple comparison with peers or the broad industry. On this basis, CK Hutchison’s current P/E of 30.38x sits above the Fair Ratio of 19.78x, which indicates that the shares may be trading on a relatively higher earnings multiple. Result: OVERVALUED SEHK:1 P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1446 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your CK Hutchison Holdings Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which are simply your story about a company linked directly to your own numbers for fair value, future revenue, earnings and margins. Instead of looking at ratios in isolation, a Narrative connects what you believe about CK Hutchison Holdings, such as how its mix of infrastructure, retail, telecommunications and ports might evolve, to a financial forecast and then to a fair value that you can compare with today’s share price. Narratives on Simply Wall St are available on the Community page and used by millions of investors, and they update automatically when new information like earnings releases or major news flows through, so your fair value view stays aligned with the latest data without extra work from you. That means you can quickly see whether your Narrative suggests CK Hutchison looks expensive or cheap by comparing your Fair Value to the current Price. You can also see how other investors arrive at very different views on the same stock. For example, one Narrative might assume a much higher fair value than another Narrative that uses more conservative revenue and margin estimates for CK Hutchison. Do you think there's more to the story for CK Hutchison Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! SEHK:1 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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