China Shenhua Energy (SEHK:1088) Valuation After Mixed 2025 Production And Sales Update

Simply Wall St.01-23

China Shenhua Energy (SEHK:1088) is back in focus after releasing December and full year 2025 operating and sales figures, showing mixed trends across coal production, power generation, and its coal ...

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This suggests momentum has been building as investors reassess China Shenhua...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0173614495.USD":"富达中国焦点A","01088":"中国神华","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU0287142896.SGD":"Fidelity China Focus A-SGD","BK1538":"煤炭股","BK1594":"碳中和概念股","BK1178":"煤与消费用燃料","BK1505":"一带一路"},"translate_title":"中国神华能源（SEHK：1088）2025年产销量更新后估值好坏参半","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"01088":0.9},"content_text":"China Shenhua Energy (SEHK:1088) is back in focus after releasing December and full year 2025 operating and sales figures, showing mixed trends across coal production, power generation, and its coal chemical products. See our latest analysis for China Shenhua Energy. The latest operating update comes after a solid run in the shares, with a 5.40% 1 month share price return and a 49.25% 1 year total shareholder return. This suggests momentum has been building as investors reassess China Shenhua Energy's risk and income profile. If this coal and power story has your attention, it could be a good moment to widen your watchlist and look at aerospace and defense stocks as another area of potential opportunity. With the shares up strongly over 1 and 5 years and an indicated intrinsic discount of about 43%, the key question now is whether China Shenhua Energy still trades below its fundamentals or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementPrice-to-Earnings of 13.2x: Is it justified? On the latest figures, China Shenhua Energy trades on a P/E of 13.2x, which sits above both its peer group and the broader Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry. The P/E ratio compares the current share price with earnings per share, so a higher P/E typically means investors are paying more for each unit of current profit. For a coal and power group like China Shenhua Energy, this often reflects how the market weighs current profitability, commodity exposure, and the stability of cash flows. Here, the market is assigning a richer P/E multiple than both the peer average of 10.3x and the industry average of 9.8x, and it is also above the estimated fair P/E of 11.6x. That indicates investors are pricing the shares at a premium to sector norms. The fair ratio is a reference point that may be used to compare the current valuation with an estimated level based on available assumptions. Explore the SWS fair ratio for China Shenhua Energy Result: Price-to-Earnings of 13.2x (OVERVALUED) However, there are clear risks if earnings soften further, or if the recent share price gains unwind faster than underlying cash generation can support. Find out about the key risks to this China Shenhua Energy narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Tell a Different Story While the 13.2x P/E points to a premium price, our DCF model paints a very different picture. With China Shenhua Energy at HK$41.38 versus an estimated future cash flow value of HK$72, the shares screen as significantly undervalued on this cash flow view. That gap hints at either a cautious market or optimistic model assumptions. Which one do you think is closer to reality, the earnings multiple or the cash flow math? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 1088 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out China Shenhua Energy for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 882 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own China Shenhua Energy Narrative If this view of China Shenhua Energy does not quite fit your own outlook, you can quickly test your assumptions, adjust the inputs, and build a version that reflects your thesis in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your China Shenhua Energy research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about building a stronger portfolio, do not stop with one stock. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to spot ideas others might miss.  Target potential growth stories early by scanning these 3535 penny stocks with strong financials that already show stronger financial foundations than many of their peers. Zero in on future tech trends by tracking these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence themes across multiple industries. Strengthen your income focus by reviewing these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that currently offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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