Assessing Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Valuation After Quarterly Update And CEO Succession Plan

Simply Wall St.01-24 09:24

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after a quarterly update that paired higher sales revenue with operational hiccups, major project milestones and news that long serving CEO Amanda Lacaze ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2605820312?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2052000-choice2-main-header/1585186553865","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-01-24 09:24","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2605820312","market":"sg","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Assessing Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Valuation After Quarterly Update And CEO Succession Plan","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after a quarterly update that paired higher sales revenue with operational hiccups, major project milestones and news that long serving CEO Amanda Lacaze ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-quarterly\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Assessing Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Valuation After Quarterly Update And CEO Succession Plan</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Valuation After Quarterly Update And CEO Succession Plan\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-24 09:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-quarterly><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after a quarterly update that paired higher sales revenue with operational hiccups, major project milestones and news that long serving CEO Amanda Lacaze ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-quarterly\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7095","symbol_name":"多种金属与采矿","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-quarterly","article_id":"2605820312","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2052000-choice2-main-header/1585186553865"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-quarterly","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2605820312","pubTimestamp":1769217845,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after a quarterly update that paired higher sales revenue with operational hiccups, major project milestones and news that long serving CEO Amanda Lacaze plans to retire.\nSee our latest analysis for Lynas Rare Earths.\nAfter a choppy few months that included profit taking and weaker rare earth prices, Lynas Rare Earths now has a 30 day share price return of 34.13% and a year to date share price return of 37.97%. Its 1 year total shareholder return...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","LYC.AU":"LYNAS RARE EARTHS LTD","BK7507":"资源股"},"translate_title":"在季度更新和首席执行官继任计划后评估莱纳斯稀土(ASX：LYC)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"LYC.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after a quarterly update that paired higher sales revenue with operational hiccups, major project milestones and news that long serving CEO Amanda Lacaze plans to retire. See our latest analysis for Lynas Rare Earths. After a choppy few months that included profit taking and weaker rare earth prices, Lynas Rare Earths now has a 30 day share price return of 34.13% and a year to date share price return of 37.97%. Its 1 year total shareholder return of 158.59% points to momentum rebuilding around the latest quarterly update and the CEO transition story. If you are looking beyond Lynas for other ideas linked to energy transition and critical materials, it could be a good moment to check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Lynas trading around A$16.86 after a very strong 1 year total shareholder return and only a small modelled intrinsic discount of about 2.9%, the key question is whether there is still a buying opportunity here or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 6.9% Overvalued Compared to Lynas Rare Earths' last close at A$16.86, the most followed narrative points to a fair value around A$15.77, using a detailed long term cash flow view.  Lynas's status as the dominant, integrated non-Chinese rare earth supplier positions the company to benefit from a global push for supply chain diversification, likely leading to long-term customer relationships, potentially higher valuation multiples, and sustained growth in revenue and margins.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue climb and margin reset are baked into that fair value, and how far earnings are expected to stretch from today? The full narrative lays out a specific growth runway, a potential step change in profitability and the valuation multiple needed to justify that price. Result: Fair Value of A$15.77 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on rare earth prices remaining stable and on Lynas executing its expansion and magnet ambitions without regulatory setbacks or project delays that could unsettle expectations. Find out about the key risks to this Lynas Rare Earths narrative. Another View: Price Ratios Flag Rich Expectations While our cash flow work points to a small A$0.50 upside, the market is asking you to pay a P/S of 30.5x, compared with 142.9x for the wider Australian Metals and Mining group, 9.9x for peers and a fair ratio of just 5x based on regression analysis. That gap suggests the share price already bakes in a lot of future growth and margin repair. The real question is whether you are comfortable paying this kind of premium if the story takes longer to play out than expected. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. ASX:LYC P/S Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Lynas Rare Earths Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply want to test your own assumptions against the market, you can build a customised Lynas view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Lynas Rare Earths research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop at Lynas, you could miss other opportunities that fit your style, so put the Simply Wall St Screener to work for you now.  Spot potential bargains early by checking out these 864 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently trade below their estimated cash flow value. Ride the next wave of technological change by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks with exposure to artificial intelligence themes. Strengthen your income watchlist by reviewing these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"executive","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.0","shortVersion":"4.36.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2605820312","isCrawlerRequest":true}