Is CVR Energy (CVI) Attractively Priced After Mixed Returns And Conflicting Valuation Signals?

Simply Wall St.01-24

If you are wondering whether CVR Energy at around US$24.54 is offering good value or asking too much, you are exactly who this breakdown is for. The stock has returned 5.3% over the last 7 days, while...

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The stock has returned 5.3% over the last 7 days, while...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cvi/cvr-energy/news/is-cvr-energy-cvi-attractively-priced-after-mixed-returns-an\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is CVR Energy (CVI) Attractively Priced After Mixed Returns And Conflicting Valuation Signals?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs CVR Energy (CVI) Attractively Priced After Mixed Returns And Conflicting Valuation Signals?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-24 10:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cvi/cvr-energy/news/is-cvr-energy-cvi-attractively-priced-after-mixed-returns-an><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether CVR Energy at around US$24.54 is offering good value or asking too much, you are exactly who this breakdown is for. The stock has returned 5.3% over the last 7 days, while...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cvi/cvr-energy/news/is-cvr-energy-cvi-attractively-priced-after-mixed-returns-an\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4138","symbol_name":"石油与天然气的炼制和营销","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cvi/cvr-energy/news/is-cvr-energy-cvi-attractively-priced-after-mixed-returns-an","article_id":"2605942238","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/1033000-choice1-main-header/1585186680256"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cvi/cvr-energy/news/is-cvr-energy-cvi-attractively-priced-after-mixed-returns-an","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2605942238","pubTimestamp":1769221804,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether CVR Energy at around US$24.54 is offering good value or asking too much, you are exactly who this breakdown is for.\nThe stock has returned 5.3% over the last 7 days, while the 1 year return sits at 18.6%, alongside a 6.9% decline over 30 days and a 2.6% decline year to date. These shifts can change how investors think about both growth potential and risk.\nRecent coverage of CVR Energy has focused on its role in the energy sector and how investor expectations are...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4138":"石油与天然气的炼制和营销","CVI":"CVR能源","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","CVR":"芝加哥机械","BK4161":"工业机械"},"translate_title":"在混合回报和相互矛盾的估值信号之后，CVR Energy(CVI)的定价是否有吸引力？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CVI":1.5,"DCF":1,"CVR":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether CVR Energy at around US$24.54 is offering good value or asking too much, you are exactly who this breakdown is for. The stock has returned 5.3% over the last 7 days, while the 1 year return sits at 18.6%, alongside a 6.9% decline over 30 days and a 2.6% decline year to date. These shifts can change how investors think about both growth potential and risk. Recent coverage of CVR Energy has focused on its role in the energy sector and how investor expectations are adjusting around that position. Those headlines help explain why short term moves look different from the longer term track record, including the 13.3% decline over 3 years and a very large gain over 5 years. Right now CVR Energy has a valuation score of 3 out of 6. Next, we will walk through what that means using different valuation approaches before finishing with a way to look at value that goes beyond any single model.  CVR Energy delivered 18.6% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Oil and Gas industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: CVR Energy Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a business could be worth today by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those back to a single present value. For CVR Energy, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of $14.6 million, so the valuation leans heavily on future cash flow projections rather than current cash generation. Analysts have provided free cash flow estimates of $322 million in 2026 and $360 million in 2027, with further years out to 2035 extrapolated by Simply Wall St. By 2035, the projection used in the model is $538.9 million. Each year’s cash flow is discounted back to today using a required rate of return. When all those discounted cash flows are added up, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of $93.33 per share. Compared with the current share price of about $24.54, the DCF output suggests CVR Energy is around 73.7% undervalued on this set of assumptions. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests CVR Energy is undervalued by 73.7%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 864 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. CVI Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for CVR Energy. Approach 2: CVR Energy Price vs Earnings P/E is a useful yardstick for a profitable company because it links what you pay directly to the earnings the business is currently generating. It lets you compare CVR Energy with other companies that earn money today, rather than relying only on long range forecasts. What counts as a “normal” P/E really depends on how much growth investors expect and how risky they think those earnings are. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk typically lines up with a lower P/E. CVR Energy currently trades on a P/E of 14.86x. That sits above the Oil and Gas industry average of 13.40x, but below the wider peer group average of 19.99x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for CVR Energy of 12.52x, which estimates the P/E you might expect given its earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risks. This Fair Ratio can be more tailored than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for those company specific factors rather than assuming all Oil and Gas businesses deserve the same multiple. With the current P/E of 14.86x above the Fair Ratio of 12.52x, the P/E view indicates that CVR Energy appears overvalued on this metric. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:CVI P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1429 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your CVR Energy Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple way to connect your view of CVR Energy’s story with the numbers behind it. A Narrative is your personal storyline for a company, where you spell out what you think happens to its revenue, earnings and margins, then link that to a fair value that makes sense to you. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, used by millions of investors, Narratives turn those assumptions into a financial forecast and fair value that you can compare directly with today’s share price to help decide whether you want to buy, hold or sell. They also update automatically when fresh information such as news or earnings is added. For CVR Energy, one investor might build a Narrative that supports a fair value well above the current US$24.54 share price. Another might create a more cautious Narrative that anchors a fair value closer to, or even below, where the stock trades today. Do you think there's more to the story for CVR Energy? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:CVI 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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