A Look At Lionsgate Studios (LION) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.01-26

AdvertisementWhy Lionsgate Studios Is On Investors’ Radar Lionsgate Studios (LION) has attracted fresh attention after a recent move in its share price, with the stock closing at US$9.75, alongside a ...

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The 45.41% 1 year total shareholder return and 56.10% 3 year total...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4108":"电影和娱乐","LION":"LIONSGATE STUDIOS CORP"},"translate_title":"狮门影业(LION)近期股价势头后的估值一览","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"LION":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Lionsgate Studios Is On Investors’ Radar Lionsgate Studios (LION) has attracted fresh attention after a recent move in its share price, with the stock closing at US$9.75, alongside a mix of positive and negative return figures across different timeframes. See our latest analysis for Lionsgate Studios. The latest 4.84% 1 day share price return and 53.06% 90 day share price return suggest momentum has picked up recently. The 45.41% 1 year total shareholder return and 56.10% 3 year total shareholder return highlight a stronger multi year story, despite a weaker 5 year total shareholder return of 14.56%. If Lionsgate’s recent move has you looking beyond a single stock, this could be a good moment to scan fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other ideas with strong momentum and insider alignment. With Lionsgate trading around US$9.75, close to the US$9.50 analyst price target and paired with mixed long term returns and recent net income growth, is there still a buying opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 21.9% Overvalued Compared with the narrative fair value of $8.00, Lionsgate Studios’ last close at $9.75 prices in a richer outlook than this model suggests, which turns the spotlight onto what is driving that gap.  While Lionsgate Studios benefits from the ongoing global expansion of streaming platforms, which is driving higher demand for its extensive content library and supporting recurring licensing revenue, they continue to face growing fragmentation in media consumption, with short-form and user-generated content eroding the potential for capturing large, consolidated audiences; this could pressure long-term top-line growth as competition for consumer attention intensifies.  Read the complete narrative. What kind of earnings turnaround and margin reset would justify paying above this modeled fair value? The narrative leans on sharper profitability, softer revenue expectations, and a higher required return. Curious which trade off matters most in that equation? Result: Fair Value of $8.00 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this thesis still leans on higher profit margins materialising while media fragmentation and Lionsgate’s US$1.5b net debt do not tighten cash flow more than expected. Find out about the key risks to this Lionsgate Studios narrative. Another View: Market Ratios Paint A Different Picture Our DCF model points to a future cash flow value of $5.28 per share, compared with the current $9.75 price, which appears overvalued based on that metric. If the narrative fair value is $8.00, which version of “expensive” do you find more compelling? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. LION Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Lionsgate Studios Narrative If you see the assumptions differently or prefer to weigh the trade offs yourself, you can stress test the same data and build your own view in just a few minutes, then Do it your way. A great starting point for your Lionsgate Studios research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Ready For Your Next Investment Idea? If Lionsgate has sparked your interest, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to spot other stocks that might better fit your approach.  Spot potential value opportunities early by searching across these 867 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may be trading below their estimated cash flow potential. Ride powerful technology trends by checking out these 23 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence themes. Boost your income focus by scanning these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3% alongside their share price moves.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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