Is Resolute Mining’s (ASX:RSG) Costlier 2026 Outlook Masking a Higher-Risk Growth Pivot?

Simply Wall St.01-25

Resolute Mining Limited has released its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, confirming lower gold production and sales versus 2024, alongside updated 2026 guidance of 250,000–275,000 ounces at...

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The company also reaffirmed its JORC-compliant reserves and advanced the larger Doropo project towards a planned mid-2026 construction start and first gold in the first half of 2028, signalling a shift toward capital-intensive growth projects. We’ll now examine how Resolute Mining’s lower 2026 production guidance and higher cost outlook influence the company’s broader investment narrative. These 9 companies survived and thrived after COVID and have the right ingredients to survive Trump's tariffs. Discover why before your portfolio feels the trade war pinch.AdvertisementWhat Is Resolute Mining's Investment Narrative?To own Resolute Mining today, you need to be comfortable with a story that is pivoting from a relatively lean, cash-focused producer into a more capital-heavy West African growth company. The latest update, with 2025 production and sales down on the prior year and 2026 guidance of 250,000–275,000 ounces at a higher Group AISC of US$2,000–US$2,200 per ounce, softens near term volume and margin expectations and makes cost control and balance sheet strength more important short term catalysts. At the same time, reaffirmed JORC reserves and the larger Doropo project, targeting construction from mid 2026 and first gold in 2028, put execution risk and funding structure squarely in focus. Recent share price gains suggest the market was already pricing in improvement, so this update may temper, rather than reset, expectations. However, investors should be aware that Doropo’s higher capex and timing introduce fresh execution risk.\n\nResolute Mining's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.Exploring Other PerspectivesASX:RSG 1-Year Stock Price ChartExplore 9 other fair value estimates on Resolute Mining - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!Build Your Own Resolute Mining NarrativeDisagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Resolute Mining research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free Resolute Mining research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Resolute Mining's overall financial health at a glance.No Opportunity In Resolute Mining?Opportunities like this don't last. These are today's most promising picks. Check them out now:AI is about to change healthcare. These 109 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.The best AI stocks today may lie beyond giants like Nvidia and Microsoft. Find the next big opportunity with these 24 smaller AI-focused companies with strong growth potential through early-stage innovation in machine learning, automation, and data intelligence that could fund your retirement.Trump has pledged to \"unleash\" American oil and gas and these 22 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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