Will Rising Power Sales and New Renewables Projects Change Contact Energy's (NZSE:CEN) Narrative?

Simply Wall St.01-25

Contact Energy reported that its retail mass-market electricity and gas sales, as well as wholesale contracted electricity sales, increased year on year in December 2025, while hydro storage levels ...

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At the same time, the company highlighted continued progress on its Glenbrook-Ohurua battery, Kowhai Park Solar, and Te Mihi Stage 2 geothermal projects, underscoring an expanding pipeline of renewable generation assets. We will now examine how Contact Energy’s stronger sales and advancing renewable projects shape its investment narrative for investors. This technology could replace computers: discover 23 stocks that are working to make quantum computing a reality.AdvertisementWhat Is Contact Energy's Investment Narrative?To own Contact Energy, you really have to believe in a steady, regulated-leaning utility that is using its balance sheet to tilt further into renewables while keeping earnings relatively resilient. The latest update of stronger retail and wholesale sales in December 2025, plus healthy hydro storage, feeds neatly into the near-term catalyst of the February 2026 results, but is unlikely to change the story on its own given the modest recent share price moves. What does feel more important is the visible progress on Glenbrook-Ohurua, Kowhai Park Solar and Te Mihi Stage 2, which reinforces the rationale for Contact’s higher-than-peer valuation and its investment in growth despite already high debt and a dividend not fully covered by earnings. Those funding and payout pressures remain key risks, even with recent operational tailwinds. However, investors should also be aware of how debt and dividend coverage could constrain flexibility.\n\nDespite retreating, Contact Energy's shares might still be trading 38% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Exploring Other PerspectivesNZSE:CEN 1-Year Stock Price Chart Seven Simply Wall St Community valuations, from NZ$8.66 to NZ$14.84, show how differently private investors are thinking about Contact’s future. Set that against the current focus on project execution risk and funding costs, and you can see why it helps to weigh a few contrasting views before deciding how this story might fit in your portfolio.Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Contact Energy - why the stock might be worth as much as 60% more than the current price!Build Your Own Contact Energy NarrativeDisagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Contact Energy research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.Our free Contact Energy research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Contact Energy's overall financial health at a glance.No Opportunity In Contact Energy?Our daily scans reveal stocks with breakout potential. Don't miss this chance:Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.These 9 companies survived and thrived after COVID and have the right ingredients to survive Trump's tariffs. Discover why before your portfolio feels the trade war pinch.The end of cancer? These 29 emerging AI stocks are developing tech that will allow early identification of life changing diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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