A Look At Darden Restaurants (DRI) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback

Simply Wall St.01-27

Darden Restaurants (DRI) has drawn investor attention after recent share price moves, including a 4.7% decline over the past day and an 8.5% pullback over the past week, alongside positive longer term...

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See our latest analysis for Darden Restaurants. The recent 1-day and 7-day share price declines come after a period of positive momentum, with the 90-day share price return of 8.33% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 5.04% suggesting sentiment has cooled rather than reversed. If Darden’s moves have you rethinking where growth could come from next, it might be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Darden trading at US$196.43, alongside an indicated intrinsic discount of about 15% and a value score of 4, the key question is whether you are seeing a genuine opening or a stock that is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 10.9% Undervalued On the most followed narrative, Darden Restaurants current price of $196.43 sits below an implied fair value of about $220.57, with that view anchored on steady growth and resilient margins over the coming years.  Darden is testing new smaller prototypes for some brands, such as Yard House and Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen. These prototypes lower construction costs and expedite new restaurant openings, enabling a potential acceleration in unit growth which should enhance revenue and earnings.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue and earnings path needs to line up for that fair value to hold. The narrative leans on steady growth, richer margins and a future earnings multiple that assumes investors keep paying up for consistency. Want the exact mix of growth, profitability and valuation baked into that $220.57 figure. Result: Fair Value of $220.57 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you also need to weigh softer guest traffic across casual dining, as well as potential pressure on margins if delivery complexity and commodity costs do not break Darden’s way. Find out about the key risks to this Darden Restaurants narrative.  Build Your Own Darden Restaurants Narrative If you see the story differently, or prefer to work from the raw numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Darden Restaurants research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop at one company, you risk missing better fits for your goals, so put the Simply Wall Street Screener to work and see what else stands out.  Spot potential value by checking out these 884 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently look cheap compared to their cash flow estimates and might warrant a closer look. Tap into growth themes with these 23 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence trends and may influence how you think about future opportunities. Strengthen your income watchlist using these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% to find companies offering yields above 3% that may suit a more income focused approach.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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