A Look At Arm Holdings (NasdaqGS:ARM) Valuation As Recent Returns Show A Mixed Recovery Pattern

Simply Wall St.01-28

AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot Arm Holdings (NasdaqGS:ARM) has seen mixed recent returns, with a small 0.1% move over the past day, a 0.8% gain over the past week, and a 4.0% rise over the ...

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This suggests that near term momentum is still recovering...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"ARM":"ARM Holdings","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4609":"英伟达持仓股","BK4588":"碎股","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00BMPRXQ63.HKD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION CONNECTIVITY FUND \"A\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2543165471.USD":"E FUND (HK) GLOBAL QUALITY GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4543":"AI"},"translate_title":"看看Arm Holdings（纳斯达克GS：ARM）的估值，因为最近的回报显示出好坏参半的复苏模式","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ARM":1.98},"content_text":"AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot Arm Holdings (NasdaqGS:ARM) has seen mixed recent returns, with a small 0.1% move over the past day, a 0.8% gain over the past week, and a 4.0% rise over the past month. See our latest analysis for Arm Holdings. Looking beyond the recent uptick, Arm Holdings’ 30 day share price return of 3.95% sits against a 90 day share price return decline of 30.57% and a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 22.17%. This suggests that near term momentum is still recovering from a weaker stretch. If Arm’s recent moves have you thinking about where else growth stories could emerge, this is a good moment to scan high growth tech and AI stocks for other potential ideas in the sector. With Arm generating US$4.4b in revenue and US$830m in net income, and trading at US$114.88 against an average analyst price target of US$157.16, is there genuine value here, or is future growth already priced in? Most Popular Narrative: 64.1% Overvalued According to the most followed narrative, Arm’s fair value sits at $70 per share versus the recent $114.88 close. This points to a wide valuation gap that hinges on sentiment and earnings expectations.  ARM Holdings continues to benefit from its irreplaceable role in the global semiconductor ecosystem, powering everything from smartphones to AI edge devices. Based on a forward earnings framework anchored to the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, the stock’s intrinsic fair value is estimated at $70 per share.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how that $70 figure comes together? The narrative leans on a specific earnings path, a tight profit margin range, and a valuation multiple that assumes a very particular future. The tension between that framework and today’s price is where the story becomes more pronounced. Result: Fair Value of $70 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this overvaluation story could be challenged if interest rates fall faster than expected or if Arm delivers earnings that materially exceed current assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Arm Holdings narrative.  Build Your Own Arm Holdings Narrative If you are not fully on board with this storyline or prefer to stress test the numbers yourself, you can build your own view in minutes by starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Arm Holdings. Looking for more investment ideas? If Arm is already on your radar, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist now or you will risk missing opportunities sitting in plain sight.  Spot early movers in smaller names by checking out these 3509 penny stocks with strong financials that pair tiny share prices with relatively solid financial profiles. Target the crossroads of AI and growth by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks that tie artificial intelligence themes to listed companies. Zero in on pricing gaps by reviewing these 874 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that appear cheap based on their cash flow profiles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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