Assessing RH (RH) Valuation After A Sharp Rebound In Recent Share Price Performance

Simply Wall St.01-26

AdvertisementWhy RH (RH) Is Back On Watch For Investors RH (RH) has recently drawn fresh attention after a sharp move in its share price, with the stock up around 23% over the past month and roughly ...

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This has prompted investors to reassess how the company’s current fundamentals and valuation line up with expectations.\nSee our latest analysis for RH.\nEven...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4178":"家庭装饰零售","RH":"RH","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc"},"translate_title":"在近期股价表现大幅反弹后评估RH(RH)估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"RH":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy RH (RH) Is Back On Watch For Investors RH (RH) has recently drawn fresh attention after a sharp move in its share price, with the stock up around 23% over the past month and roughly 21% in the past 3 months. That price action stands in contrast to a total return decline of about 45% over the past year and weaker multi year returns. This has prompted investors to reassess how the company’s current fundamentals and valuation line up with expectations. See our latest analysis for RH. Even after a 23.0% 1 month share price return and 21.3% 3 month share price return, RH’s longer term picture still reflects a 45.5% 1 year total shareholder return decline. This means recent momentum follows a much weaker stretch for holders. If RH’s rebound has caught your eye, it can be useful to see what else is moving in consumer facing names, including auto manufacturers as another way to spot potential ideas. With RH trading around $228.39 and an indicated 43% intrinsic discount, yet sitting above the average analyst price target, the real question is whether you are looking at genuine value or a market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 8.6% Overvalued RH’s most followed narrative pegs fair value at about $210.35, which sits below the recent $228.39 close, so the story assumes some optimism is already priced in.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $262.25 for RH based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $436.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $179.0.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path, margin lift and future P/E this narrative needs to support that fair value gap and wide target spread? The underlying assumptions are far from simple. Result: Fair Value of $210.35 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the narrative still leans on a fragile housing market and sizeable stock repurchase debt, either of which could quickly challenge those fair value assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this RH narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Paint A Different Picture While the most followed narrative points to RH trading about 8.6% above its US$210.35 fair value, our DCF model comes out very differently. Based on those cash flow assumptions, RH at US$228.39 screens as significantly undervalued, with an estimated value of US$403.56. Which story do you think feels more realistic? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. RH Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out RH for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 871 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own RH Narrative If you are not fully on board with these narratives or prefer to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can pull the numbers, adjust the inputs and build a custom view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your RH research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking For More Investment Ideas? If RH has you thinking more seriously about your portfolio, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with other focused ideas that might fit your style.  Spot potential value by scanning these 871 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that line up current prices with underlying cash flow strength. Capture growth themes early by checking these 23 AI penny stocks shaping the future of automation, data and machine learning. Strengthen your income focus by reviewing these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that aim for yields above 3% alongside fundamentals.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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