Assessing Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Valuation After Recent Weak Share Price And Total Return Performance

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AdvertisementArbor Realty Trust: Recent Returns Put Income Focus in the Spotlight Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) shares have faced pressure recently, with negative total returns over the past year and past ...

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This has prompted many income focused investors to reassess how they view this mortgage REIT.\nSee our latest analysis for Arbor Realty Trust.\nWith the share price at $7.70, recent weakness has been pronounced, with a 90 day share price return of a 34.47% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"ABR.AU":"American Pacific Borate Lithium","533.SI":"ABR","ABR":"阿伯房地产信托","BK6000":"餐馆","TSS":"Total System Services","BK4110":"抵押房地产投资信托","BK6509":"食品和饮料股","BK7504":"锂钴概念","BK7095":"多种金属与采矿"},"translate_title":"在近期股价和总回报表现疲软后评估Arbor Realty Trust(ABR)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ABR.AU":1.5,"TSS":1.5,"ABR":1.5,"533.SI":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementArbor Realty Trust: Recent Returns Put Income Focus in the Spotlight Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) shares have faced pressure recently, with negative total returns over the past year and past 3 months. This has prompted many income focused investors to reassess how they view this mortgage REIT. See our latest analysis for Arbor Realty Trust. With the share price at $7.70, recent weakness has been pronounced, with a 90 day share price return of a 34.47% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return of a 36.03% decline, pointing to fading momentum as investors reassess income and risk. If this kind of volatility has you comparing options, it could be a good time to look at fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a way to spot other ideas on your radar. With Arbor trading at $7.70 and flagged with both a value score of 5 and an estimated 48% intrinsic discount, you have to ask: is this a genuine income opportunity, or is the market correctly pricing in future risks and growth? Most Popular Narrative: 35.8% Undervalued At $7.70, the most followed narrative suggests Arbor Realty Trust has meaningful upside to a fair value of $12.00, built on detailed earnings and margin assumptions. The analysts have a consensus price target of $12.312 for Arbor Realty Trust based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $15.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $10.5. Read the complete narrative. The fair value call here depends on a tight mix of shrinking revenues, surprisingly high future margins and a richer earnings multiple than the sector. Curious which assumptions really carry that $12.00 figure? Result: Fair Value of $12.00 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this upside view could be tested if agency production falls by 10% to 20% in 2025 and dividend resets reduce the appeal of Arbor’s income profile. Find out about the key risks to this Arbor Realty Trust narrative.  Build Your Own Arbor Realty Trust Narrative If parts of this story do not sit right with you, or you would rather lean on your own data and judgment, you can shape your own view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Arbor Realty Trust research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Ready for more investment ideas? If Arbor has your attention, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with a few focused stock ideas that could sharpen how you think about returns and risk.  Kick start your hunt for value oriented opportunities by checking out these 885 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that line up with your return expectations and comfort with risk. Zero in on income potential by reviewing these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may fit your preferences for regular cash flows. Get ahead of emerging themes by scanning these 18 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks that connect listed companies to digital assets and blockchain use cases.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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