A Look At Novonix's Valuation After Lost Stellantis Deal And Delayed Panasonic Production Timeline

Simply Wall St.01-25

NOVONIX (ASX:NVX) is back in focus after losing a large supply agreement with Stellantis and delaying the expected start of mass production for Panasonic-linked anode material until the second half of...

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The 5 year total shareholder...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1064927863.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Europe Dynamic A (acc) SGD-H","PCRFY":"松下","BK4588":"碎股","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK7084":"电子设备和仪器","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","STLA":"Stellantis NV","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","NVX.AU":"NOVONIX LTD","BK4157":"电子设备和仪器","NVX":"NOVONIX","BK4078":"消费电子产品"},"translate_title":"在失去Stellantis交易并推迟松下生产时间表后看看Novonix的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"STLA":1.5,"NVX":0.9,"PCRFY":1.5,"NVX.AU":1.5},"content_text":"NOVONIX (ASX:NVX) is back in focus after losing a large supply agreement with Stellantis and delaying the expected start of mass production for Panasonic-linked anode material until the second half of 2027. See our latest analysis for NOVONIX. The setbacks with Stellantis and the delayed Panasonic ramp up come against a backdrop of weaker trading momentum, with a 90 day share price return of 40.29% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return of 27.83% loss. The 5 year total shareholder return shows an 84.04% loss that reflects how sentiment has faded over time. If this kind of news has you reassessing your options, it could be a good moment to broaden your search and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the share price under pressure, a value score of 1, and the stock trading well below the A$1.00 analyst target, the key question is whether this is a genuine reset opportunity or if markets are already discounting future growth. AdvertisementPreferred Price-to-Sales Multiple of 41.5x: Is it justified? At a last close of A$0.42, NOVONIX is being valued at a P/S ratio of 41.5x, which is a rich starting point when you compare it to the wider market and its peers. The P/S ratio compares the company’s market value to its revenue and is often used for early stage or loss making businesses where earnings are not yet a meaningful guide. For a company like NOVONIX, which is still unprofitable and reported a net loss of $66.25m on revenue of $5.93m, investors are effectively paying up today based on what they expect future sales to become rather than what the current income statement shows. Against that backdrop, NOVONIX screens as expensive relative to both the global Electronic industry average P/S of 1.9x and the peer average of 2.1x. The current 41.5x multiple sits far above those reference points. However, when you compare it to the estimated fair P/S ratio of 105.8x, the current multiple looks materially lower. This points to a level the market could move towards if the assumptions behind that fair ratio play out. Explore the SWS fair ratio for NOVONIX Result: Price-to-Sales of 41.5x (OVERVALUED) However, you still have to weigh contract uncertainty and the company’s A$66.25m net loss, which could both challenge the reset story that investors are hoping for. Find out about the key risks to this NOVONIX narrative.  Build Your Own NOVONIX Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own view against the data, you can build a fresh narrative in just a few minutes using Do it your way. A great starting point for your NOVONIX research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If NOVONIX has you rethinking your exposure, do not stop here. Broaden your hunt with fresh ideas that line up with your goals and risk appetite.  Target potential bargains by scanning these 862 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that the market may be pricing conservatively based on their cash flow profiles. Ride long term technology trends by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks that sit at the intersection of AI and high growth potential. Tap into income focused opportunities by reviewing these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if NOVONIX might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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