Is It Too Late To Consider Howmet Aerospace (HWM) After Its 67% One Year Surge?

Simply Wall St.01-30

If you are wondering whether Howmet Aerospace is still worth considering at today's price, this article will walk through what the market might be implying about its value. The stock recently closed ...

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The stock recently closed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-hwm/howmet-aerospace/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-howmet-aerospace-hwm-after-its-67\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Howmet Aerospace (HWM) After Its 67% One Year Surge?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Howmet Aerospace (HWM) After Its 67% One Year Surge?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-30 00:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-hwm/howmet-aerospace/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-howmet-aerospace-hwm-after-its-67><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Howmet Aerospace is still worth considering at today's price, this article will walk through what the market might be implying about its value. The stock recently closed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-hwm/howmet-aerospace/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-howmet-aerospace-hwm-after-its-67\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1868837300.USD","symbol_name":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"9\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-hwm/howmet-aerospace/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-howmet-aerospace-hwm-after-its-67","article_id":"2607055294","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3021000-choice1-main-header/1585186644732"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-hwm/howmet-aerospace/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-howmet-aerospace-hwm-after-its-67","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607055294","pubTimestamp":1769704278,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Howmet Aerospace is still worth considering at today's price, this article will walk through what the market might be implying about its value.\nThe stock recently closed at US$210.84, with a 1 year return of 67.3% and a 3 year return that is very large, suggesting that past investors have already seen a substantial move and that expectations or risk views may have shifted along the way.\nRecent coverage around Howmet Aerospace has focused on its role as a key...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1868837300.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"9\" (USD) ACC","HWM":"Howmet Aerospace Inc.","LU1153585028.USD":"BGF GLOBAL LONG-HORIZON EQUITY  \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","LU2764262908.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU1868836914.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"3\" (USD) ACC","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU2543165471.USD":"E FUND (HK) GLOBAL QUALITY GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0096362180.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL FOCUS \"DU\" (USD)","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","LU0011850046.USD":"贝莱德全球长线股票 A2 USD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","LU0957791311.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU2720916845.USD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2764263039.SGD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (SGDHDG) ACC","HK0000914686.HKD":"GFI Global Select Equity Fund Class A (HKD)","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU2764263203.CNY":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (CNYHDG) ACC","HK0000914660.USD":"GFI Global Select Equity Fund Class A (USD)"},"translate_title":"在Howmet Aerospace(HWM)一年飙升67%之后，现在考虑它是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"HWM":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Howmet Aerospace is still worth considering at today's price, this article will walk through what the market might be implying about its value. The stock recently closed at US$210.84, with a 1 year return of 67.3% and a 3 year return that is very large, suggesting that past investors have already seen a substantial move and that expectations or risk views may have shifted along the way. Recent coverage around Howmet Aerospace has focused on its role as a key supplier of advanced components to aerospace and industrial customers. This keeps investor attention on how its order book and customer relationships might affect long term prospects. There has also been interest in how the company is positioned within the broader capital goods sector, as investors weigh its profile against other large listed peers. Despite that backdrop, Howmet Aerospace currently records a valuation score of 0 out of 6. Next we will look at what different valuation methods say about the stock today and then finish with an even more practical way to think about valuation for your own portfolio.  Howmet Aerospace scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Howmet Aerospace Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today’s value, aiming to estimate what the entire business might be worth in total. For Howmet Aerospace, the model used here is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The company’s last twelve months free cash flow is about $1.37b. Analyst inputs and subsequent extrapolations then project free cash flow out over the next decade, reaching an estimated $4.06b in 2035. These longer term figures are based on analyst estimates for the earlier years and Simply Wall St extrapolations for the later years. When all those projected cash flows are discounted back and summed, the model arrives at an intrinsic value of about $163.47 per share. Compared with the recent share price of $210.84, this DCF output suggests the stock is about 29.0% above the model’s estimate of value, which points to it being overvalued on this specific cash flow view. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Howmet Aerospace may be overvalued by 29.0%. Discover 880 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. HWM Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Howmet Aerospace. Approach 2: Howmet Aerospace Price vs Earnings For profitable companies like Howmet Aerospace, the P/E ratio is a useful yardstick because it ties what you pay directly to the earnings the business is currently generating. It gives you a quick sense of how many dollars investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. What counts as a “normal” P/E will usually reflect how the market views a company’s growth potential and risk. Higher expected earnings growth or lower perceived risk often go with a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk can anchor that multiple lower. Howmet Aerospace currently trades on a P/E of 58.54x. That sits above the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 41.71x and above the peer average of 31.82x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Howmet Aerospace is 35.45x. This is its proprietary estimate of an appropriate P/E after considering factors like earnings growth, risks, profit margins, market cap and the company’s industry. This Fair Ratio can be more informative than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for company specific characteristics rather than assuming all firms deserve similar multiples. Set against the current P/E of 58.54x, the Fair Ratio of 35.45x indicates the shares are trading on a higher multiple than this framework would support. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:HWM P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1421 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Howmet Aerospace Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is simply your story about Howmet Aerospace, where you spell out what you think could happen to its revenue, earnings and margins, then link that story to a clear fair value estimate. On Simply Wall St, Narratives on the Community page let you plug your view into a forecast, compare your Fair Value to today’s share price, and quickly see whether the stock looks expensive or cheap against your own assumptions. Because Narratives update automatically when new news or earnings are added, your story and fair value do not sit still, which can help you think about whether to hold, add to, or reduce a position as conditions change. For example, one Howmet Aerospace Narrative might use relatively cautious assumptions and arrive at a lower fair value per share, while another could reflect a more optimistic view on future cash flows and arrive at a higher fair value based on the same public information. Do you think there's more to the story for Howmet Aerospace? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:HWM 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Howmet Aerospace might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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