Is Elevra Lithium (ASX:ELV) Fairly Priced After Recent Share Price Pullback?

Simply Wall St.01-30

If you are wondering whether Elevra Lithium's current share price reflects its true worth, this article walks you through what the numbers are actually saying about value. The stock last closed at A$...

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The stock last closed at A$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-elv/elevra-lithium-shares/news/is-elevra-lithium-asxelv-fairly-priced-after-recent-share-pr\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Elevra Lithium (ASX:ELV) Fairly Priced After Recent Share Price Pullback?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Elevra Lithium (ASX:ELV) Fairly Priced After Recent Share Price Pullback?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-30 04:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-elv/elevra-lithium-shares/news/is-elevra-lithium-asxelv-fairly-priced-after-recent-share-pr><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Elevra Lithium's current share price reflects its true worth, this article walks you through what the numbers are actually saying about value. The stock last closed at A$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-elv/elevra-lithium-shares/news/is-elevra-lithium-asxelv-fairly-priced-after-recent-share-pr\">Source 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worth, this article walks you through what the numbers are actually saying about value.\nThe stock last closed at A$7.47, with a 22.6% decline over the past 7 days and an 8.6% decline over 30 days, set against a 116.5% return over 1 year and a 5.7% decline year to date.\nRecent coverage around Elevra Lithium has focused on its position within the lithium sector and how sentiment around future demand has been...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0122379950.USD":"贝莱德世界健康科学A2","SG9999004303.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Global Opportunities SGD","LU2430703095.HKD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (HKD) INC","LU0187121727.USD":"FIDELITY SUSTAINABLE US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0477156953.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"RE\" (USD) ACC","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0314106906.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" 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value. The stock last closed at A$7.47, with a 22.6% decline over the past 7 days and an 8.6% decline over 30 days, set against a 116.5% return over 1 year and a 5.7% decline year to date. Recent coverage around Elevra Lithium has focused on its position within the lithium sector and how sentiment around future demand has been feeding into trading activity. This context helps explain why the share price has moved sharply in the short term, while longer term returns look very different. According to Simply Wall St's valuation model, Elevra Lithium scores 3 out of 6 on its valuation checks. Next, we will look at what different valuation approaches say about that score, before finishing with a way to interpret valuation that many investors find even more useful.  Elevra Lithium delivered 116.5% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Metals and Mining industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Elevra Lithium Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of the cash a company could generate in future years and discounts those amounts back to today to arrive at an estimated value per share. For Elevra Lithium, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of A$211.33 million. Analysts have provided forecasts out to 2028, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further. Within that, projected free cash flow includes A$126.40 million in 2026, A$532.50 million in 2027 and A$201.20 million in 2028, followed by smaller estimated figures through to 2035. After discounting these projected cash flows back to today, the model indicates an estimated intrinsic value of about A$7.05 per share. Compared with the recent share price of A$7.47, this implies Elevra Lithium is around 5.9% overvalued. This is a relatively small gap and is within the sort of margin many investors treat as noise rather than a clear signal. Result: ABOUT RIGHT Elevra Lithium is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment's notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act. ELV Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Elevra Lithium. Approach 2: Elevra Lithium Price vs Sales For companies where earnings are not yet the main focus, the P/S ratio can be a useful way to think about value because it compares the share price to the revenue the business is already generating. What counts as a reasonable P/S ratio usually reflects how the market views a company’s growth potential and risk. Higher growth expectations or lower perceived risk can support a higher multiple, while slower growth or higher risk tends to line up with a lower multiple. Elevra Lithium currently trades on a P/S ratio of 5.66x. That sits below the Metals and Mining industry average of 150.18x and below the peer group average of 19.54x. Simply Wall St also calculates a Fair Ratio for Elevra Lithium of 19.34x, which is an estimate of the P/S multiple the company might attract given its earnings growth profile, margins, size, industry and risk characteristics. This Fair Ratio can be more informative than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for company specific factors instead of assuming all businesses deserve the same multiple. With Elevra Lithium’s actual P/S of 5.66x sitting well below the Fair Ratio of 19.34x, the model points to the shares screening as undervalued on this measure. Result: UNDERVALUED ASX:ELV P/S Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1417 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Elevra Lithium Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which let you attach a clear story to your numbers such as your view on Elevra Lithium’s fair value and its future revenue, earnings and margins. A Narrative ties that story to a financial forecast and then to a fair value, so you can see how your expectations translate into a number, not just a feeling. On Simply Wall St, Narratives sit inside the Community page, where millions of investors use them as a simple tool to compare their fair value with the current share price and consider whether they see Elevra Lithium as a potential buy, a hold, or something to watch. As new information arrives, such as company news or earnings, the underlying assumptions and fair values in each Narrative update automatically. For example, one Elevra Lithium Narrative might use a very optimistic fair value with strong growth in revenue and margins, while another uses more conservative forecasts and a much lower fair value, showing how different views on the same company can lead to very different conclusions. Do you think there's more to the story for Elevra Lithium? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! ASX:ELV 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Elevra Lithium might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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