Is There Now An Opportunity In Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) After Multi‑Year Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.01-31

If you are wondering whether Lamb Weston Holdings is attractively priced today, it helps to step back and look at what the recent share performance and fundamentals are really telling you about value....

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This can change how investors think about its risk and return profile.\nRecent coverage of Lamb Weston has focused...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1878469433.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) - AMERICAN SMALLER COMPANIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LW":"Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.","BK4212":"包装食品与肉类","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4588":"碎股"},"translate_title":"Lamb Weston Holdings(LW)股价多年疲软后现在还有机会吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"LW":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Lamb Weston Holdings is attractively priced today, it helps to step back and look at what the recent share performance and fundamentals are really telling you about value. The stock last closed at US$45.96, with returns of 4.2% over the past 7 days, 9.6% over 30 days, 8.7% year to date, but a 22.9% decline over 1 year and a 49.7% decline over 3 years. This can change how investors think about its risk and return profile. Recent coverage of Lamb Weston has focused on how the share price record over multiple time frames compares with investors' expectations for the business and its sector peers, and on what that means for those reassessing their position in the stock. This backdrop helps frame whether the current price looks attractive or demanding when you compare it to measures such as earnings, assets and cash flows. On our valuation checklist, Lamb Weston scores 4 out of 6 for being undervalued. This sets things up to walk through the main valuation approaches next and then finish with a different way of thinking about value that many investors find even more useful.  Find out why Lamb Weston Holdings's -22.9% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Lamb Weston Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today using an appropriate rate. It is essentially asking what those future dollars are worth in present terms. For Lamb Weston Holdings, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $244.9 million. Analyst and extrapolated projections suggest Free Cash Flow could reach $939.0 million in 2030, with intermediate years such as 2026 and 2027 modeled at $385.8 million and $491.7 million respectively. Beyond the analyst horizon, Simply Wall St extends these projections out to 2035 using estimated growth rates. When all those projected cash flows are discounted back to today, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about US$206.61 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$45.96, this implies a 77.8% discount, which indicates the shares screen as materially undervalued on this model alone. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Lamb Weston Holdings is undervalued by 77.8%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 869 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. LW Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Lamb Weston Holdings. Approach 2: Lamb Weston Holdings Price vs Earnings For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. It helps you quickly compare how the market is valuing those earnings against other companies or the wider sector. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends a lot on what investors expect for future growth and how risky they think those earnings are. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while lower growth or higher risk usually points to a lower P/E being reasonable. Lamb Weston Holdings currently trades on a P/E of 16.27x. That sits above the peer average of 14.93x, but below the Food industry average of 20.90x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for Lamb Weston of 20.93x. This Fair Ratio reflects what the P/E might be expected to look like given factors such as earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. Because the Fair Ratio builds these company specific inputs into one number, it can be more informative than just lining up the current P/E against peers and the industry. Comparing 16.27x to the Fair Ratio of 20.93x suggests the shares screen as undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:LW P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1418 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Lamb Weston Holdings Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which put a clear story behind the numbers like your assumed fair value and your estimates for future revenue, earnings and margins. A Narrative is your view of a company written as a simple story, then translated into a financial forecast and finally into a fair value that you can compare with the current share price. On Simply Wall St, Narratives are available on the Community page, where millions of investors share these story plus forecast views, and each Narrative is updated automatically when fresh information such as earnings releases or news is added to the model. This makes it easier for you to decide when Lamb Weston Holdings looks attractive or stretched by checking whether the fair value from a Narrative sits above or below the current price. You might see one Narrative that assumes a higher fair value based on stronger margins, and another that assumes a lower fair value based on more cautious revenue and profitability assumptions. Do you think there's more to the story for Lamb Weston Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:LW 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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