Assessing Fiserv (FISV) Valuation After A Steep One Year Share Price Decline

Simply Wall St.01-31

AdvertisementEvent context and recent stock performance Fiserv (FISV) has been drawing investor attention after a weak stretch in the share price, with negative returns over the past month, over the ...

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This aligns with a 1 year total shareholder return...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","BK4588":"碎股","LU0354030438.USD":"富国美国大盘成长基金Cl A Acc","BK4227":"交易和支付处理服务","LU1823568750.SGD":"Fidelity Global Technology A-ACC SGD","FISV":"费哲金融服务","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","LU1046421795.USD":"富达环球科技A-ACC","LU2125909759.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety H-R/A SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU2125909916.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A SGD","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","LU1923622291.USD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A USD","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD"},"translate_title":"在股价大幅下跌一年后评估Fiserv(FISV)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FISV":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementEvent context and recent stock performance Fiserv (FISV) has been drawing investor attention after a weak stretch in the share price, with negative returns over the past month, over the past 3 months, year to date, and over the past year. See our latest analysis for Fiserv. With the share price at US$63.43 and a 7 day share price return of a 5.9% decline, on top of a 30 day share price return of a 6.1% decline, recent momentum has been weak. This aligns with a 1 year total shareholder return of a 70.6% loss and suggests that investors may be reassessing both growth potential and risk in the story. If Fiserv's recent pullback has you reassessing your options, it could be a good moment to broaden your research and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. So with Fiserv trading at US$63.43, posting weak returns across multiple time frames, yet screens suggesting a possible discount to estimated value, is this a mispriced fintech heavyweight, or is the market already accounting for its future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 25.2% Undervalued Fiserv's most followed valuation narrative points to a fair value of $84.75 per share versus the current $63.43, which puts a clear gap between the market price and that framework's estimate.  The increasing demand for digitized and automated financial services among banks and businesses underpins robust adoption of Fiserv's next-generation platforms, such as Clover, Commerce Hub, Finxact, and CashFlow Central; the company's focus on product innovation and integration is likely to enhance recurring software and services revenue, support premium pricing, and further expand operating margins.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of recurring revenue mix and margin profile sits behind that valuation gap? The narrative leans heavily on compounding software and services economics and a profitability reset that is anything but modest. At a discount rate of 9.05%, this framework projects future cash flows from Fiserv's payments and financial technology operations and then discounts them back to today's dollars. It bakes in more cautious top line growth assumptions, slightly higher profit margins, and a lower future earnings multiple than before, yet still arrives at a fair value that is above the current share price, which is why the narrative tags the stock as undervalued within its own assumptions. Result: Fair Value of $84.75 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the story could easily change if execution slips again or if key clients push harder on pricing, which would challenge those higher margin assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Fiserv narrative.  Build Your Own Fiserv Narrative If the current narrative does not quite fit how you see Fiserv, you can review the numbers yourself and shape a custom view in minutes, Do it your way. A great starting point for your Fiserv research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Fiserv has sharpened your thinking, do not stop there. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to widen your watchlist before the next opportunity moves away.  Spot potential value by scanning these 866 undervalued stocks based on cash flows and see which companies the model flags as trading below their estimated cash flow based worth. Ride the AI wave early by filtering for these 24 AI penny stocks that tie real revenues to artificial intelligence rather than just headlines. Target income-focused opportunities through these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% and compare yields above 3% with balance sheet strength and payout consistency.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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