AGNC Investment (AGNC) Valuation Check After Strong Recent Returns And Overvalued Fair Value Estimate

Simply Wall St.01-29

AdvertisementWhy AGNC Investment is on income investors’ radar AGNC Investment (AGNC) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing different return figures across ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2607706463?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/9551733-choice2-main-header/1585186799817","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-01-29 11:41","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2607706463","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"AGNC Investment (AGNC) Valuation Check After Strong Recent Returns And Overvalued Fair Value Estimate","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>AdvertisementWhy AGNC Investment is on income investors’ radar AGNC Investment (AGNC) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing different return figures across ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-valuation-check-after-strong-recent-ret\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AGNC Investment (AGNC) Valuation Check After Strong Recent Returns And Overvalued Fair Value Estimate</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAGNC Investment (AGNC) Valuation Check After Strong Recent Returns And Overvalued Fair Value Estimate\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-29 11:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-valuation-check-after-strong-recent-ret><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AdvertisementWhy AGNC Investment is on income investors’ radar AGNC Investment (AGNC) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing different return figures across ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-valuation-check-after-strong-recent-ret\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4588","symbol_name":"碎股","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-valuation-check-after-strong-recent-ret","article_id":"2607706463","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/9551733-choice2-main-header/1585186799817"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-valuation-check-after-strong-recent-ret","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607706463","pubTimestamp":1769658109,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Why AGNC Investment is on income investors’ radar\nAGNC Investment (AGNC) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing different return figures across the past week, month, past 3 months and year. That naturally raises questions about how its mortgage focused REIT model stacks up today.\nSee our latest analysis for AGNC Investment.\nWith the share price at US$12.02, AGNC Investment has recently posted a 20.20% 3 month share price return and a 41.74% 1 year...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4110":"抵押房地产投资信托","AGNC":"美国资本代理公司"},"translate_title":"AGNC Investment(AGNC)在近期强劲回报和公允价值估计被高估后进行估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AGNC":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy AGNC Investment is on income investors’ radar AGNC Investment (AGNC) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing different return figures across the past week, month, past 3 months and year. That naturally raises questions about how its mortgage focused REIT model stacks up today. See our latest analysis for AGNC Investment. With the share price at US$12.02, AGNC Investment has recently posted a 20.20% 3 month share price return and a 41.74% 1 year total shareholder return. This points to building momentum as income focused investors reassess the risk and income profile of mortgage backed REITs. If AGNC’s move has caught your eye and you want to see what else is setting up interesting patterns, it is a good time to check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. The recent 3 month and 1 year returns suggest sentiment has shifted, yet AGNC’s US$12.02 share price sits above the latest analyst target and intrinsic value estimate. This raises the question of whether there is still a buying opportunity here or if potential future growth is already reflected in the price. Most Popular Narrative: 22.3% Overvalued AGNC Investment’s most followed narrative points to a fair value of $9.83 versus the current $12.02 share price, which sets up a clear valuation gap for investors to weigh.  The Fed's accommodative monetary policy and declining inflationary pressures have reduced interest rate volatility and steepened the yield curve, potentially enhancing AGNC's revenue and earnings as stable interest rates can improve the predictability of returns on mortgage-backed securities. The supply and demand outlook for Agency MBS is expected to be well balanced in 2025, with potential positive surprises from bank demand due to less onerous regulation, which could support revenue growth and stabilization of earnings by maintaining attractive investment yields.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what is really behind that fair value gap? The narrative leans heavily on aggressive revenue momentum, thick margins and a lower future earnings multiple. Curious how those pieces fit together into $9.83 while the market sits above it? The full story is in the underlying forecasts and assumptions, not just the headline number. Result: Fair Value of $9.83 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you still need to weigh that recent comprehensive loss per share and ongoing interest rate and Agency MBS spread volatility, which could unsettle those upbeat forecasts. Find out about the key risks to this AGNC Investment narrative. Another angle on valuation So far the focus has been on fair value estimates around $9.83, which suggest AGNC Investment is overvalued at $12.02. Yet its current P/E of 8.8x screens as good value versus the US market at 19.3x, the Mortgage REITs industry at 12.8x, and a fair ratio of 13.4x. That gap points to a clear valuation trade off: cheaper earnings today against analyst doubts about future revenue and profit trends. Which side of that trade off do you think matters more for your own thesis? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:AGNC P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own AGNC Investment Narrative If you look at this and feel differently, or simply want to test your own view against the data, you can quickly build a personalised thesis and Do it your way within minutes. A great starting point for your AGNC Investment research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If AGNC has you thinking differently about income and valuation, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist now so you do not miss the next opportunity.  Spot potential high growth names early by scanning these 3519 penny stocks with strong financials that already show stronger balance sheets and earnings quality than many expect from low priced shares. Position your portfolio for long term themes by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks pushing AI into everything from automation to data analytics. Focus on value by reviewing these 877 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently look cheap based on cash flow estimates and could warrant a closer look.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2607706463","isCrawlerRequest":true}