Is It Too Late To Consider CK Hutchison Holdings (SEHK:1) After A 69% One Year Rally?

Simply Wall St.01-30 21:29

If you are wondering whether CK Hutchison Holdings is attractively priced right now or if the recent excitement has already been baked into the share price, this article walks you through that ...

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This naturally raises questions about how much value is still on the table.\nThese moves are set against...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","IE0032431581.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GREATER CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK1500":"做空集合股","LU1048588211.SGD":"Blackrock Asian Dragon A2 SGD-H","BK1569":"长和系","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","BK1230":"工业集团企业","LU0072462343.USD":"贝莱德亚洲巨龙基金","BK1601":"香港本地股","00001":"长和","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓"},"translate_title":"在一年上涨69%后，考虑长江和记实业（SEHK：1）是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"00001":0.9},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether CK Hutchison Holdings is attractively priced right now or if the recent excitement has already been baked into the share price, this article walks you through that question step by step. The stock recently closed at HK$63.25, with returns of 0.7% over 7 days, 19.5% over 30 days, 17.1% year to date, 69.3% over 1 year, 51.7% over 3 years, and 54.6% over 5 years. This naturally raises questions about how much value is still on the table. These moves are set against a backdrop of ongoing interest in large Hong Kong based conglomerates and how investors are thinking about diversified exposure to sectors such as infrastructure, ports, retail, and telecommunications. Broader discussions around capital allocation, portfolio simplification, and where conglomerates sit in investor portfolios have kept CK Hutchison on many watchlists and helped shape sentiment around its shares. On our simple valuation checklist, CK Hutchison scores 2 out of 6 for being undervalued. This suggests some measures flag value while others do not, and we will unpack that using several common valuation approaches before finishing with a different way to think about what the valuation really means for you.  CK Hutchison Holdings scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: CK Hutchison Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company might be worth by projecting the cash it could generate in the future and then discounting those cash flows back to what they are worth in HK$ today. For CK Hutchison Holdings, the latest twelve month free cash flow is about HK$37.7b. Analysts provide free cash flow estimates out to 2027, with HK$39.1b in 2026 and HK$41.1b in 2027. Beyond that, Simply Wall St extrapolates cash flows through to 2035, with the 2035 free cash flow projection sitting at HK$51.8b, based on a gradual growth profile. When all these projected cash flows are discounted back using a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, the estimated intrinsic value comes out at around HK$142.49 per share. Compared with the recent share price of HK$63.25, the model suggests the stock trades at about a 55.6% discount to this estimate, which indicates CK Hutchison is materially undervalued on this DCF view. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests CK Hutchison Holdings is undervalued by 55.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 866 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. 1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for CK Hutchison Holdings. Approach 2: CK Hutchison Holdings Price vs Earnings For a profitable company like CK Hutchison Holdings, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. Investors typically accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger earnings growth or see lower risk in those earnings, and look for a lower P/E when growth expectations or perceived risks are higher. CK Hutchison currently trades on a P/E of 31.32x. That sits above the Industrials sector average of 12.92x and also above the peer group average of 28.27x, which might initially make the shares look more expensive than many comparables. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for CK Hutchison is 20.00x. This is a proprietary estimate of what a reasonable P/E could be, given factors such as the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. Because it incorporates these company specific drivers rather than relying only on broad peer or industry comparisons, the Fair Ratio aims to give a more tailored view of value. With the current P/E of 31.32x sitting above the 20.00x Fair Ratio, the shares screen as overvalued on this P/E approach. Result: OVERVALUED SEHK:1 P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1414 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your CK Hutchison Holdings Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which let you tell a clear story about CK Hutchison Holdings by connecting your view of its business to your own forecasts and a fair value estimate. A Narrative is simply your version of the company’s story, tied directly to numbers like future revenue, earnings and margins, so you are not just looking at ratios; you are linking what you believe about the business to a forward looking model and then to a fair value that you can compare with the current share price. On Simply Wall St, Narratives sit inside the Community page. Millions of investors use them as an accessible tool to decide whether the gap between Fair Value and Price is large enough to act on, and those Narratives are refreshed whenever new information such as results or news is added to the platform. For CK Hutchison Holdings, one investor might see significantly higher fair value based on more optimistic margin and cash flow assumptions, while another might set a much lower fair value that reflects more cautious expectations for future performance. Do you think there's more to the story for CK Hutchison Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! SEHK:1 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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