A Look At Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Valuation After Its Recent Trading Move

Simply Wall St.02-04

AdvertisementHow Public Service Enterprise Group stock looks after its recent trading move Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) shares recently closed at $80.31, prompting investors to reassess how ...

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See our latest analysis for Public Service Enterprise Group. The 2.5% one day share price decline sits against a relatively steady recent pattern, with a 7 day share price return of 1.6% and a small 30 day share price decline. At the same time, the 3 year total shareholder return of 45.0% and 5 year total shareholder return of 61.5% point to a stronger longer term record. This suggests that recent moves may reflect shorter term shifts in risk sentiment rather than a clear change in the long term story. If PEG’s mix of electric, gas, and nuclear assets has you thinking about broader utility themes, it could be a useful moment to compare it with other healthcare stocks as you refine your watchlist. With PEG trading around $80.31, a value score of 2, an intrinsic value estimate slightly above the market price, and analyst targets implying some upside, investors may ask whether there is still a buying opportunity or if future growth is already reflected in the current price. Most Popular Narrative: 9.6% Undervalued At $80.31 a share versus a narrative fair value of about $88.85, the current price sits below what the most followed model considers reasonable, and that view leans heavily on long term grid and clean energy spending assumptions.  Sustained and increasing levels of utility capital investment ($3.8B in 2025; $21 to $24B through 2029) focused on grid modernization, infrastructure resilience, and clean energy programs position PSEG to capture value from regulatory-approved rate increases and expand its regulated asset base, driving future earnings and net margin growth.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what sits behind that fair value gap? The narrative leans on steady revenue expansion, thicker margins, and a richer future P/E than the sector usually commands. The mix and pace of those assumptions are where the story really gets interesting. Result: Fair Value of $88.85 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on data center demand actually materializing and on regulators consistently signing off on PSEG’s large grid and clean energy spending plans. Find out about the key risks to this Public Service Enterprise Group narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Paint A Tighter Picture The narrative model sees Public Service Enterprise Group as about 9.6% undervalued, but our DCF model tells a different story. With the share price at $80.31 versus a DCF value of $77.25, PEG screens as slightly overvalued on cash flows. Which story do you trust more: sentiment or spreadsheets? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. PEG Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Public Service Enterprise Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 872 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Public Service Enterprise Group Narrative If you see the story differently, or just prefer to work from the raw numbers yourself, you can build a custom PEG view in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Public Service Enterprise Group research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Ready for more investment ideas? If PEG has you thinking about how to position your portfolio, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover focused ideas in minutes.  Target potential rebound candidates by scanning these 3533 penny stocks with strong financials that pair smaller market caps with balance sheets and earnings profiles you can actually scrutinise. Ride the AI shift by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks that tie artificial intelligence themes to real revenues, not just headlines. Hunt for value by filtering these 872 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that screen as cheap based on cash flows, giving you a starting list to research before prices move away from you.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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