A Look At Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group’s Valuation After New 2025 Earnings Guidance

Simply Wall St.02-01

AdvertisementWhy Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Stock Is Back in Focus Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (SEHK:1385) has issued unaudited earnings guidance for 2025, flagging higher revenue...

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See our latest analysis for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group. The earnings guidance lands after a strong run in the shares, with a 1-month share price return of 14.74% and a 90-day share price return of 22.87%. The 1-year total shareholder return of very close to 3.6x suggests momentum has been strong rather than fading. If guidance-driven moves in chipmakers have your attention, it could be a good moment to see what else is setting up interestingly across high growth tech and AI stocks. With the shares up sharply and the new guidance pointing to higher revenue but much lower profit, investors are left asking a simple question: is Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group now undervalued, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Price-to-Earnings of 80.1x: Is it justified? Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group currently trades on a P/E of 80.1x, which is high compared with both its peers and an estimated fair level for the stock. The P/E ratio tells you how much investors are paying today for each unit of current earnings. It is a common yardstick for chipmakers where profit expectations often drive interest more than current income. A higher P/E can signal that the market is building in strong profit growth, or that investors are simply paying a premium for exposure to the business. For Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group, the current P/E of 80.1x is well above the Asian Semiconductor industry average of 42.4x. This suggests the market is pricing the shares at a premium to sector peers. It also sits materially above the estimated fair P/E of 36.2x, a level the market could move towards if sentiment or expectations cool. Together, these comparisons point to a valuation that is rich relative to both the wider industry and an implied fair ratio. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Result: Price-to-Earnings of 80.1x (OVERVALUED) However, stretched P/E multiples and earnings pressure from inventory write downs, research spend, and weaker subsidies could quickly challenge the current, momentum-driven narrative. Find out about the key risks to this Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group narrative. Another View: Our DCF Model Paints A Harsher Picture While the rich P/E already suggests Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group is expensive, our DCF model goes further. At HK$52, the shares sit well above an estimated future cash flow value of HK$3.9. On this measure, the stock appears very overvalued. That kind of gap raises a practical question for you as an investor: is the market correctly looking past near term earnings pressure, or has enthusiasm simply run too far ahead of the cash flow outlook? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 1385 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 874 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Narrative If this view does not line up with your own, or you simply prefer to test the numbers yourself, you can build a fresh thesis in just a few minutes using Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward investors are optimistic about regarding Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group. Looking for more investment ideas? If Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group is on your radar, do not stop here. The Screener can quickly surface other opportunities you might wish you had spotted earlier.  Spot potential value by checking out these 874 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that line up with your preferred price and quality filters. Ride emerging technology themes by reviewing these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence growth stories. Boost your income focus by scanning these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may suit a yield orientated watchlist.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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