Is Johnson Controls International (JCI) Pricing In Too Much Growth After Recent Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St.02-03 09:21

If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) still offers value after a strong run, this article walks through what the current share price might be implying. The stock last ...

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The stock last ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-pricing-in-too-much-gr\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1989764664.SGD","symbol_name":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-pricing-in-too-much-gr","article_id":"2608384824","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/282590-main-header/1756206019351"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-pricing-in-too-much-gr","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608384824","pubTimestamp":1770081683,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) still offers value after a strong run, this article walks through what the current share price might be implying.\nThe stock last closed at US$122.98, with returns of 6.9% over the past 7 days, 0.5% over the past 30 days, 0.5% year to date, 62.2% over 1 year, 98.6% over 3 years and 163.5% over 5 years.\nRecent news around Johnson Controls International has focused on long term themes such as building efficiency, smart...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1989764664.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","LU1989764748.USD":"东方汇理环球颠覆性机遇A2 Acc","LU1854104046.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0124384867.USD":"贝莱德新能源基金A2","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","IE00B3T34201.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"B\" (USD) INC","BK4580":"工业 4.0","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1978683503.SGD":"Blackrock Sustainable Energy A2 SGD-H","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","LU1854103824.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) INC","JCI":"江森自控","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4086":"建筑产品","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","LU1989772840.SGD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc SGD-H","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1989772923.USD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc USD-H","LU0211331839.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLB DISCOVERY \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"江森自控国际(JCI)近期股价飙升后是否定价过高","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"JCI":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) still offers value after a strong run, this article walks through what the current share price might be implying. The stock last closed at US$122.98, with returns of 6.9% over the past 7 days, 0.5% over the past 30 days, 0.5% year to date, 62.2% over 1 year, 98.6% over 3 years and 163.5% over 5 years. Recent news around Johnson Controls International has focused on long term themes such as building efficiency, smart infrastructure and energy related solutions. These themes often shape how investors think about growth prospects and risk. This context helps frame whether the recent share price performance aligns with the underlying business story or has moved ahead of it. On our valuation checks, Johnson Controls International currently scores 0 out of 6. We will look at traditional valuation tools such as discounted cash flow, multiples and peer comparisons, then finish with a way to put all these methods into a clearer, big picture view.  Johnson Controls International scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Johnson Controls International Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A DCF model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts those projections back to today, to estimate what the entire business might be worth in present value terms. For Johnson Controls International, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is reported at about $928.3 million. Analysts provide explicit annual free cash flow estimates out to 2029, where free cash flow is projected at $4.054b. Simply Wall St then extrapolates further years to build a 10 year stream of cash flows, all in $ and then discounted. When those projected and extrapolated cash flows are discounted back, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of $108.70 per share, compared with the recent share price of $122.98. That implies the stock screens as about 13.1% above the DCF estimate, so on this model Johnson Controls International looks overvalued at current levels. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Johnson Controls International may be overvalued by 13.1%. Discover 876 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. JCI Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Johnson Controls International. Approach 2: Johnson Controls International Price vs Earnings For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand because it links what you pay for each share with the earnings that support that share. It gives you a quick way to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of profit. What feels like a “normal” or “fair” P/E depends a lot on two things: how quickly earnings are expected to grow and how risky those earnings are. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk tends to justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk usually points to a lower one. Johnson Controls International currently trades on a P/E of 43.74x. That sits above the building industry average of 20.77x and also above the peer average of 27.23x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio, which is its estimate of what a more appropriate P/E might be after accounting for factors like earnings growth, industry, profit margins, market cap and risks, is 39.87x. This Fair Ratio can be more useful than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for company specific features instead of assuming every firm deserves the same multiple. With the current P/E above the Fair Ratio, the shares screen as overvalued on this metric. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:JCI P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1424 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Johnson Controls International Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which Simply Wall St hosts on its Community page that is used by millions of investors. A Narrative is your story about Johnson Controls International that sits behind the numbers, where you spell out what you think is a reasonable fair value along with your assumptions for future revenue, earnings and profit margins. Instead of looking at the share price or a single model in isolation, a Narrative links the company’s story to a financial forecast and then to a fair value estimate. You can then compare this directly to the current market price to help decide whether you are closer to buying, holding or selling. Narratives on the platform are easy to set up, update automatically when new information such as news or earnings is added, and can differ meaningfully. For example, one Johnson Controls International Narrative might see a much higher fair value based on stronger margin assumptions, while another points to a lower fair value with more cautious revenue expectations. Do you think there's more to the story for Johnson Controls International? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:JCI 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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