Assessing Trip.com Group (NasdaqGS:TCOM) Valuation After New Securities Investigation And Antitrust Probe

Simply Wall St.02-04

Trip.com Group (TCOM) is back in the spotlight after Rosen Law Firm opened an investigation into potential securities claims, following reports of a Chinese antitrust probe and concerns over allegedly...

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The 1 year total shareholder return of 14.75% contrasts with much...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU2399975544.HKD":"ALLIANZ ALL CHINA EQUITY \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999000475.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Singapore Equity SGD","LU0048580855.USD":"富达大中华区A","LU0106252389.USD":"SCHRODER ISF EMERGING MARKETS \"A\" ACC","LU0315179316.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN DYNAMIC \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4142":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","BK4588":"碎股","LU0348827113.USD":"ALLIANZ RCM CHINA \"AT\" ACC","IE00BPRC5H50.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0828237510.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF BIC (BRAZ IN CH)\"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1868838027.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU0143863198.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES\"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0228659784.USD":"施罗德金砖四国基金","LU0329678170.USD":"FIDELITY EMERGING ASIA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0049853897.USD":"SCHRODER ISF EMERGING MARKETS \"A\" (USD) INC AV","TCOM":"携程网","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0359202008.SGD":"Blackrock China Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0048575426.USD":"FIDELITY EMERGING MARKETS \"A\" INC","LU0594300419.USD":"富达中国消费基金A","LU0261950470.USD":"FIDELITY EMERGING MARKETS \"A\" ACC","LU0370786039.SGD":"Fidelity Greater China A-SGD","LU1023057109.AUD":"BGF CHINA \"A2\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1720050803.USD":"安联全方位中国股票基金","LU0650527681.SGD":"Fidelity China Consumer A-SGD","LU0210526637.USD":"JPM CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 SGD","IE00B543WZ88.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1868837722.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU0456827905.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - China A (acc) SGD","LU1961090484.USD":"ALLIANZ ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0737861772.HKD":"FIDELITY EMERGING ASIA \"A \" (HKD) ACC","LU0417516902.SGD":"Allianz China Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU1868837565.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"1\" (USD) ACC","LU0348825331.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00B0JY6N72.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0143863784.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES\"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU2152927971.USD":"NORDEA 1 ASIAN STARS EQUITY \"BP\" (USD) ACC","IE00B5MMRT66.SGD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0561508036.HKD":"ALLIANZ CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0327786744.USD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 USD","LU0359201885.HKD":"BGF CHINA \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU0039217434.USD":"HSBC GIF CHINESE EQUITY \"AD\" INC","LU0251143458.SGD":"Fidelity Emerging Markets A-SGD"},"translate_title":"在新的证券调查和反垄断调查后评估携程集团（纳斯达克GS：TCOM）的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TCOM":1.5},"content_text":"Trip.com Group (TCOM) is back in the spotlight after Rosen Law Firm opened an investigation into potential securities claims, following reports of a Chinese antitrust probe and concerns over allegedly misleading business information. See our latest analysis for Trip.com Group. The investigation headlines arrive after a weak run for the shares, with a 30 day share price return of 18.81% and a 90 day share price return of 14.20%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 14.75% contrasts with much stronger 3 and 5 year total shareholder returns of 63.85% and 71.14% respectively, suggesting longer term holders have still seen meaningful gains even as recent momentum has faded. If this legal risk has you reassessing your travel exposure, it could be a useful moment to scan other consumer service names through fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Trip.com Group now trading well below some estimates of intrinsic value and analyst targets, yet facing legal and regulatory questions, investors may need to consider whether this weakness represents a genuine entry point or whether the market is correctly pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 30.5% Undervalued Trip.com Group's most followed narrative points to a fair value around $87 per share versus the last close at $60.48, putting a spotlight on how future growth, margins and valuation multiples interact.  Ongoing investment in proprietary artificial intelligence, personalized recommendation engines, and integrated \"one-stop\" trip planning tools (like Trip.Planner and Intelli-Trip) is driving higher user engagement, stronger repeat bookings, and better operating leverage, supporting margin expansion and increased customer lifetime value.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path, earnings power and future P/E multiple are baked into that price tag? The narrative leans on steady travel demand, richer margins and a valuation level that still sits below many hospitality peers. The full story connects those assumptions into one clear fair value roadmap. Result: Fair Value of $87.05 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the ongoing regulatory probe and the risk of customers booking directly with airlines and hotels could both chip away at the growth story supporting that fair value. Find out about the key risks to this Trip.com Group narrative.  Build Your Own Trip.com Group Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to dig into the data yourself, you can shape a custom Trip.com Group story in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Trip.com Group research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you want to broaden your watchlist beyond Trip.com Group, this is a smart moment to scan pre-filtered ideas that line up with your own risk and return preferences.  Target income-focused opportunities by checking out these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may suit investors who prioritize regular cash returns. Explore growth themes in cutting edge tech by reviewing these 25 AI penny stocks that are exposed to artificial intelligence adoption. Search for potential value ideas by applying these 869 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that highlight companies priced below their estimated cash flow worth.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Trip.com Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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