A Look At The Metals Company’s Valuation As Regulatory And Funding Signals Reshape Expectations

Simply Wall St.01-31

TMC the metals (TMC) is back in focus after a sharp 17.7% share price drop, as investors weigh the U.S. government’s new equity stake in USA Rare Earth against TMC’s expanded deep sea mining permit ...

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This suggests momentum has cooled as investors...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4168":"多种金属与采矿","BK4563":"昨日强势股","TMC":"The Metals Company"},"translate_title":"随着监管和融资信号重塑预期，看看这家金属公司的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TMC":1.5},"content_text":"TMC the metals (TMC) is back in focus after a sharp 17.7% share price drop, as investors weigh the U.S. government’s new equity stake in USA Rare Earth against TMC’s expanded deep sea mining permit application. See our latest analysis for TMC the metals. The recent 11.85% one day share price decline, and 29.87% 7 day share price return, sit against a 30 day share price return of 7.29% and a very large 1 year total shareholder return of about 4x. This suggests momentum has cooled as investors reassess regulatory progress and government support. If TMC’s story has caught your eye, it could be a moment to widen your watchlist and check out high growth tech and AI stocks for other future facing resource and technology names. With TMC now trading at US$6.62 and posting a 1-year total return of about 4x, the key question is whether recent setbacks leave the stock undervalued or whether the market has already priced in future growth. AdvertisementPreferred Multiple of Price to Book: Is it justified? On the surface, TMC the metals looks hard to pin down, with a share price at $6.62 and a reported P/B ratio of roughly -67.4x versus a US Metals and Mining industry average of 2.6x. P/B usually helps you compare a company’s market value to the net value of its assets, which can be useful for asset heavy businesses such as miners. Here though, TMC’s negative shareholders’ equity means the model flips upside down and the output becomes more of a red flag than a clean relative valuation signal. Because equity is negative and revenue is effectively zero, traditional multiples offer limited help and do not neatly show whether the current price reflects future expectations. The market is effectively pricing a pre revenue, loss making, highly speculative project where balance sheet strength, funding mix, and future profitability assumptions matter more than book value comparisons. Against that backdrop, the stated P/B of -67.4x versus peers at 2.6x highlights how different TMC’s starting point is from the broader sector rather than giving you a clear cheap or expensive label. The gap suggests investors should focus on project viability, forecast profitability and balance sheet repair instead of leaning on conventional multiple based shortcuts. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Result: Price to book ratio of -67.4x (ABOUT RIGHT) However, there are clear risks here, including potential regulatory setbacks on deep sea mining and the company’s current profile of zero revenue and a net loss of US$295.507 million. Find out about the key risks to this TMC the metals narrative.  Build Your Own TMC the metals Narrative If your take on TMC differs or you would rather lean on your own analysis, you can pull the numbers, shape your thesis, and Do it your way in just a few minutes. A great starting point for your TMC the metals research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 5 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are weighing TMC, it makes sense to widen your opportunity set and see how other themes stack up using the Simply Wall St Screener.  Spot potential value plays with strong cash flow profiles by checking out these 868 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may line up with your risk and return preferences. Tap into cutting edge technology themes by reviewing these 25 AI penny stocks that connect artificial intelligence with real business models and financials. Add a growth twist to your watchlist by scanning these 18 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks that tie digital assets to listed companies with transparent reporting.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if TMC the metals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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