Assessing Venture Global (VG) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum And LNG Growth Expectations

Simply Wall St.02-02 01:23

AdvertisementEvent context and recent stock performance Venture Global (VG) has been on investors’ radar after recent trading saw the stock move to a last close of US$9.80, with a 1 day return of ...

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This suggests recent momentum has picked up after a...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0368265418.SGD":"Blackrock World Energy Fund A2 SGD-H","BK6515":"技术设备股","SG9999001135.SGD":"United ASEAN Fund SGD","BK4023":"应用软件","IE00B29SXK94.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4144":"石油与天然气的储存和运输","LU0788109394.HKD":"BGF WORLD ENERGY \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","SG9999014492.USD":"NIKKO AM ASEAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK6062":"电子制造服务","SG9999014484.SGD":"Nikko AM ASEAN Equity Fund A SGD","LU0314104364.USD":"MANULIFE GF AMERICAN GROWTH \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","VG":"Venture Global, Inc.","LU0630314457.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999004360.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Thrift Fund SGD","BK4213":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","SG9999001846.SGD":"Schroder Asian Equity Yield A Dis SGD","LU0345780950.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","V03.SI":"创业公司","LU0345781412.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999000475.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Singapore Equity SGD","IE00B29SXL02.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) INC","LNG":"Cheniere Energy","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2449327464.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0122376428.USD":"贝莱德世界能源基金A2","SG9999008742.SGD":"Eastspring Investments Unit Trusts - Singapore ASEAN Equity SGD","SG9999006266.SGD":"MANULIFE SINGAPORE EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","SG9999004220.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Asia Dividend Equity Fund  SGD","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"根据近期股价势头和液化天然气增长预期评估Venture Global(VG)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"V03.SI":0.9,"VG":1.5,"LNG":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementEvent context and recent stock performance Venture Global (VG) has been on investors’ radar after recent trading saw the stock move to a last close of US$9.80, with a 1 day return of 1.34% and a past month return of 39.20%. See our latest analysis for Venture Global. Looking beyond the latest move to US$9.80, the 30 day share price return of 39.20% and 90 day return of 17.22% sit against a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 51.75%. This suggests recent momentum has picked up after a weaker stretch. If this kind of rebound has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your search and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other ideas showing strong interest and insider backing. So with Venture Global trading at US$9.80, at a discount to the US$11.78 analyst price target and showing an intrinsic discount signal, are you looking at an undervalued LNG player or a stock that already reflects expectations of future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 20.1% Undervalued At a last close of $9.80 versus a most followed fair value estimate of $12.26, Venture Global is framed as trading at a meaningful discount, with that gap built on specific growth and margin expectations rather than sentiment alone.  Rapid ramp up of Plaquemines and CP2 production, with proven ability to operate meaningfully above nameplate capacity, should drive sustained volume growth and materially higher revenue and EBITDA as additional trains reach COD.  Read the complete narrative. To understand what is reflected in that growth story, the narrative focuses on rising LNG volumes, shifting margins and a richer earnings multiple. Curious which assumptions really carry the $12.26 fair value tag and how they compare over the next few years? The full narrative lays out the numbers behind that 20.1% discount call. Result: Fair Value of $12.26 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this story can change quickly if LNG spreads compress as new projects start up, or if Calcasieu Pass arbitration outcomes absorb more cash than expected. Find out about the key risks to this Venture Global narrative.  Build Your Own Venture Global Narrative If you see the numbers differently or just like testing your own view against the market, you can build a custom Venture Global story in a few minutes using Do it your way. A great starting point for your Venture Global research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Venture Global has sparked your interest, do not stop here, use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly surface other focused ideas before the market moves on.  Target income potential by checking out these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that might suit a yield focused portfolio. Ride big technology themes by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks shaping the future of artificial intelligence. Hunt for value by reviewing these 875 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently look cheap based on cash flows.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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