Reassessing Ingredion (INGR) After Recent Share Price Gains And DCF Valuation Gap

Simply Wall St.02-05

If you are wondering whether Ingredion's share price still offers value after its recent moves, this article walks through what the current market price might be implying about the business. The stock...

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The stock...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-ingr/ingredion/news/reassessing-ingredion-ingr-after-recent-share-price-gains-an\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reassessing Ingredion (INGR) After Recent Share Price Gains And DCF Valuation Gap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReassessing Ingredion (INGR) After Recent Share Price Gains And DCF Valuation Gap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-05 14:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-ingr/ingredion/news/reassessing-ingredion-ingr-after-recent-share-price-gains-an><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Ingredion's share price still offers value after its recent moves, this article walks through what the current market price might be implying about the business. The stock...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-ingr/ingredion/news/reassessing-ingredion-ingr-after-recent-share-price-gains-an\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"INGR","symbol_name":"宜瑞安","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-ingr/ingredion/news/reassessing-ingredion-ingr-after-recent-share-price-gains-an","article_id":"2609375208","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/5121000-choice2-main-header/1585186862101"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-ingr/ingredion/news/reassessing-ingredion-ingr-after-recent-share-price-gains-an","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2609375208","pubTimestamp":1770272853,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Ingredion's share price still offers value after its recent moves, this article walks through what the current market price might be implying about the business.\nThe stock last closed at US$119.96, with returns of 3.0% over 7 days, 8.6% over 30 days, 9.3% year to date, 28.7% over 3 years and 58.9% over 5 years, while the 1 year return sits at a 2.5% decline, which can change how investors think about both risk and upside.\nRecent coverage around Ingredion has...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"INGR":"宜瑞安","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1989763690.USD":"东方汇理世代食品基金A2 Acc","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4189":"农产品","LU2380233275.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE FOOD AND WATER \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1989763427.SGD":"CPR Invest - Food For Generations A2 Acc SGD-H"},"translate_title":"在近期股价上涨和DCF估值差距后重新评估Ingredion(INGR)","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"INGR":1.5,"DCF":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Ingredion's share price still offers value after its recent moves, this article walks through what the current market price might be implying about the business. The stock last closed at US$119.96, with returns of 3.0% over 7 days, 8.6% over 30 days, 9.3% year to date, 28.7% over 3 years and 58.9% over 5 years, while the 1 year return sits at a 2.5% decline, which can change how investors think about both risk and upside. Recent coverage around Ingredion has focused on its position in the broader food ingredients space and how the market is responding to its capital allocation choices and business mix. This context helps explain why the share price has moved in the way it has over different time frames and why investors are rechecking what they are willing to pay. On our checks, Ingredion scores 5 out of 6 on valuation, giving it a 5/6 value score. Next, we look at how different valuation approaches line up with that result before finishing with a way to think about value that goes beyond the usual models.  Find out why Ingredion's -2.5% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Ingredion Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model takes the cash Ingredion is expected to generate in the future, then discounts those projections back to today to estimate what the business could be worth per share right now. For Ingredion, the latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $611.7 million. Simply Wall St uses analyst estimates where available, then extrapolates further out to build a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model. In this case, projected annual Free Cash Flow figures between 2026 and 2035 sit in a range of roughly $599 million to $711 million, all expressed in $. Bringing those projected cash flows back to today, the DCF model points to an estimated intrinsic value of about $231.57 per share. Compared with the recent share price of $119.96, this implies Ingredion trades at roughly a 48.2% discount to that DCF estimate. On this metric, the shares screen as undervalued. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Ingredion is undervalued by 48.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 868 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. INGR Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Ingredion. Approach 2: Ingredion Price vs Earnings For a consistently profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand because it tells you how many dollars you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. It also implicitly reflects what investors expect for future growth and how much risk they see in those earnings. In simple terms, higher expected growth and lower perceived risk usually support a higher P/E, while lower growth or higher uncertainty tend to justify a lower P/E. Ingredion currently trades on a P/E of 10.37x. That sits below the Food industry average of 22.81x and well below the peer group average of 37.92x, which suggests the market is putting a lower multiple on Ingredion's earnings than on many of its peers. Simply Wall St's Fair Ratio metric estimates what a more tailored P/E could look like for Ingredion, at 14.08x. Fair Ratio is designed to be more specific than a simple peer or industry comparison because it considers factors such as earnings growth, risks, profit margins, industry, and market cap together, rather than in isolation. Comparing 10.37x with the 14.08x Fair Ratio points to Ingredion trading below that tailored benchmark, which indicates the shares screen as undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:INGR P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1426 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Ingredion Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which let you write a simple story for Ingredion that connects your view of its business to explicit numbers like future revenue, earnings, margins and your own fair value estimate. A Narrative ties three things together in one place, the company story you believe, the financial forecast that story implies and the fair value that falls out of those assumptions, so you can see clearly why your valuation looks the way it does. On Simply Wall St, within the Community page used by millions of investors, Narratives are designed to be quick to set up, easy to compare and automatically refreshed when new information such as news or earnings is added. This helps you keep checking whether your fair value still stacks up against the current share price and decide if that points to a buy, a hold or a sell for you. For example, one Ingredion Narrative on the Community page might assume higher long term profit margins and arrive at a much higher fair value, while another assumes flatter margins and a lower growth outlook and therefore lands on a much lower fair value even though both investors are looking at the same company. Do you think there's more to the story for Ingredion? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:INGR 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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