Is It Too Late To Consider Fastenal (FAST) After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?

Simply Wall St.02-06

If you are wondering whether Fastenal shares still offer value after a strong run, this article will walk through what the current price might be implying. The stock recently closed at US$47.33, with ...

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The stock recently closed at US$47.33, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-fast/fastenal/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-fastenal-fast-after-its-strong-mu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Fastenal (FAST) After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Fastenal (FAST) After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-06 22:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-fast/fastenal/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-fastenal-fast-after-its-strong-mu><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Fastenal shares still offer value after a strong run, this article will walk through what the current price might be implying. The stock recently closed at US$47.33, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-fast/fastenal/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-fastenal-fast-after-its-strong-mu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"IE00BFXG0V08.USD","symbol_name":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"B\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-fast/fastenal/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-fastenal-fast-after-its-strong-mu","article_id":"2609515824","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3081000-choice2-main-header/1585186749644"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-fast/fastenal/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-fastenal-fast-after-its-strong-mu","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2609515824","pubTimestamp":1770387253,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Fastenal shares still offer value after a strong run, this article will walk through what the current price might be implying.\nThe stock recently closed at US$47.33, with recorded returns of 9.2% over 7 days, 16.5% over 30 days, 17.0% year to date, 30.9% over 1 year, 95.6% over 3 years and 125.3% over 5 years. This naturally raises questions about what is already priced in.\nRecent attention on Fastenal has centered on its role as an industrial and construction...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"IE00BFXG0V08.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"B\" (USD) ACC","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","IE00B5TLWC47.USD":"BNY MELLON LONG-TERM GLOBAL EQUITY \"B\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","FAST":"快扣","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4104":"贸易公司与经销商","IE00BYQQ9H92.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"在Fastenal(FAST)股价多年强劲上涨之后，现在考虑它是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FAST":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Fastenal shares still offer value after a strong run, this article will walk through what the current price might be implying. The stock recently closed at US$47.33, with recorded returns of 9.2% over 7 days, 16.5% over 30 days, 17.0% year to date, 30.9% over 1 year, 95.6% over 3 years and 125.3% over 5 years. This naturally raises questions about what is already priced in. Recent attention on Fastenal has centered on its role as an industrial and construction supplies distributor and on how investors are treating companies tied to manufacturing, infrastructure and maintenance spending. This context helps frame why the stock's recent performance may reflect changing expectations about demand and perceived risk. On our valuation checks, Fastenal currently scores 0 out of 6 for being undervalued. Next we will look at how different valuation methods line up with that score and then finish with a more holistic way to think about what the market might be missing.  Fastenal scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Fastenal Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of a company’s future cash flows and discounts them back to today to arrive at an implied value per share. It is essentially asking what those future dollars are worth in today’s terms. For Fastenal, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $1,067m. Analyst and extrapolated estimates in the model project free cash flow between roughly $1,081m and $1,488m a year over the next decade, with the 2030 estimate at $1,368m. All cash flows are assessed in US$. When these projected cash flows are discounted back, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about US$21.80 per share, compared with the recent share price of US$47.33. That gap implies Fastenal is assessed as 117.1% overvalued on this DCF output. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Fastenal may be overvalued by 117.1%. Discover 55 high quality undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. FAST Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Fastenal. Approach 2: Fastenal Price vs Earnings For a profitable company like Fastenal, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to connect what you pay for each share with the earnings that support it. It helps you see how many dollars the market is currently willing to pay for one dollar of earnings. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends a lot on growth expectations and risk. Higher expected earnings growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk tends to justify a lower one. Fastenal currently trades on a P/E of about 43.18x. That is well above the Trade Distributors industry average of 23.65x and also above the peer average of 22.03x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio framework estimates what a more tailored P/E might look like for Fastenal, based on factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk profile. This Fair Ratio is 29.54x, so it aims to capture more of the company’s specific context than a simple peer or industry comparison. When you set that 29.54x Fair Ratio against the actual 43.18x P/E, the stock looks expensive on this measure. Result: OVERVALUED NasdaqGS:FAST P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 22 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Fastenal Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. These are simply your story about Fastenal, linked directly to the numbers you think are reasonable for its future revenue, earnings, margins and fair value. On Simply Wall St, Narratives live in the Community page and let you spell out why you think Fastenal deserves a certain forecast. They then translate that story into a financial model and a Fair Value that you can set against today’s share price to help you decide whether it might be closer to a buy, a hold or a sell for you. Because Narratives are tied into the platform, they update automatically when new information arrives, such as earnings reports or major news. This means your view of Fastenal’s Fair Value can adjust as the facts change without you rebuilding everything from scratch. For example, one Fastenal Narrative on the Community page might assume faster revenue growth and higher long term profit margins, giving a higher Fair Value. Another might assume slower growth and more modest margins, resulting in a lower Fair Value, using the same company but two very different stories. Do you think there's more to the story for Fastenal? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:FAST 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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