Carrier Global (CARR) Margin Improvement Reinforces Bullish Earnings Narrative

Simply Wall St.02-07

Carrier Global (CARR) has wrapped up FY 2025 with fourth quarter revenue of US$4,837 million and basic EPS of US$0.03, capping a year in which trailing twelve month revenue came in at US$21.7 billion ...

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The company has seen quarterly revenue range from US$5,218 million to US$6,113 million through 2025, while basic EPS moved between US$0.48 and US$0.71 in the first three quarters. This set up a year where improved net profit margin helped earnings grow faster than the top...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4543":"AI","LU1721428347.USD":"BNP PARIBAS CLIMATE IMPACT \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU0347712357.USD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"C\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4566":"资本集团","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","LU1721428933.USD":"法巴全球经典环境基金RH MD Dis","LU2413666426.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"C\" (HKD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2477742899.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS CLIMATE IMPACT \"C\" (HKD) ACC","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","CARR":"开利全球","LU2506952410.USD":"BNP PARIBAS CLIMATE IMPACT \"CRH\" (USDHDG) ACC A","LU2413666699.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","BK4086":"建筑产品","LU2506952337.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS CLIMATE IMPACT \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) ACC"},"translate_title":"开利全球(CARR)利润率的改善强化了看涨的盈利叙述","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CARR":1.98},"content_text":"Carrier Global (CARR) has wrapped up FY 2025 with fourth quarter revenue of US$4,837 million and basic EPS of US$0.03, capping a year in which trailing twelve month revenue came in at US$21.7 billion and EPS of US$1.71. The company has seen quarterly revenue range from US$5,218 million to US$6,113 million through 2025, while basic EPS moved between US$0.48 and US$0.71 in the first three quarters. This set up a year where improved net profit margin helped earnings grow faster than the top line. Overall, the results point to a business where tighter margins and earnings trends are front and center for investors assessing what comes next. See our full analysis for Carrier Global. With the headline figures on the table, the next step is to set these results against the widely shared narratives around Carrier Global, to see which stories the numbers support and which ones they push back on. Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives NYSE:CARR Earnings & Revenue History as at Feb 2026 Advertisement6.7% net margin shifts earnings mix  Trailing net profit margin sits at 6.7% versus 4.9% a year earlier, while trailing revenue is US$21.7b and net income from continuing operations is US$1.5b. What stands out for the bullish view is that earnings over the last year rose 31.3% even though revenue is forecast to grow at about 3.9% a year. This means:\n     Stronger margins and earnings growth outpacing the 15.6% US market forecast support the idea of a more earnings focused story than a pure sales growth story. At the same time, the five year earnings decline of 14.3% a year reminds you that the recent margin improvement is still being set against a longer history of weaker earnings.    Stronger earnings growth with a 6.7% margin shift gives bulls plenty to talk about, but the long term earnings decline keeps the debate interesting for anyone weighing how durable this trend could be. 📊 Read the full Carrier Global Consensus Narrative. Premium 36.7x P/E with DCF support  The shares trade on a 36.7x P/E versus 22.4x for the US Building industry and 31.3x for peers, while a DCF fair value of US$68.17 sits about 6.2% above the current US$63.92 share price. Critics focus on the bearish angle that a premium multiple builds in high expectations, yet the numbers create a mixed picture:\n     The P/E premium to the broader group lines up with earnings forecasts of 17.6% a year that are faster than the 15.6% US market forecast. This can help explain why investors are willing to pay more per dollar of earnings. At the same time, the share price sitting below the DCF fair value estimate suggests the current market price does not fully reflect those same growth assumptions.    High debt alongside slower 3.9% revenue growth  Revenue is forecast to grow at about 3.9% a year, below the 10.2% US market revenue growth forecast, while the balance sheet flags a high level of debt as a risk. Bears argue that slower top line growth combined with higher leverage leaves less room for error, and the recent figures frame that concern:\n     Trailing revenue of roughly US$21.7b with 6.7% net margin shows the business is profitable, but earnings rely more on margin quality than on fast sales growth. The debt flag in the analysis means investors may pay close attention to how much of that 17.6% forecast earnings growth is used to strengthen the balance sheet instead of being directed elsewhere.     Next Steps Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on Carrier Global's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move. See What Else Is Out There Carrier Global couples slower forecast revenue growth of 3.9% with a high debt load, which can leave less flexibility if conditions become more challenging. If that mix of modest growth and leverage feels uncomfortable, you may want to weigh alternatives with stronger cushions by checking out our solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (45 results) today.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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