A Look At Coinbase Global (COIN) Valuation After Regulatory Setbacks And Crypto Market Weakness

Simply Wall St.02:30

Interest in Coinbase Global (COIN) has picked up after a series of regulatory setbacks, crypto market weakness, and cautious analyst views, even as the company rolls out new services to broaden its ...

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At the same time, the 3 year total shareholder return of about 1.5x...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"FIAT":"做空COIN期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","BK4595":"比特币概念","COIO":"2倍上限加速COIN ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4539":"次新股","COIW":"COIN周配息ETF-Roundhill","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU2360107671.USD":"BGF FINTECH \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","COYY":"GRANITESHARES YIELDBOOST COIN ETF","CONI":"2倍做空COIN ETF-GraniteShares","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","CONL":"2倍做多COIN ETF-GraniteShares","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","COIA":"ProShares Ultra Coin ETF","BK4596":"哈里斯概念","CONX":"Direxion Daily COIN Bull 2X ETF","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","COIG":"2倍做多COIN ETF- Leverage Shares","BK4600":"加密货币概念","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","CONY":"COIN期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"translate_title":"监管挫折和加密货币市场疲软后Coinbase Global(COIN)估值一览","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"COIO":0.6,"CONL":0.6,"COIA":0.6,"CONX":0.6,"COIW":0.6,"CONI":0.6,"FIAT":0.6,"COIN":1.98,"COIG":0.6,"CONY":0.6,"COYY":0.6},"content_text":"Interest in Coinbase Global (COIN) has picked up after a series of regulatory setbacks, crypto market weakness, and cautious analyst views, even as the company rolls out new services to broaden its business. See our latest analysis for Coinbase Global. Recent headlines around regulatory scrutiny, cautious earnings expectations, and a weaker crypto backdrop have gone hand in hand with a 24.0% year to date share price decline. At the same time, the 3 year total shareholder return of about 1.5x still points to a very strong earlier run, suggesting that momentum has been fading into Coinbase’s upcoming February 12 earnings update. If you are tracking how regulation and crypto volatility are affecting listed platforms, it can also be useful to scan other high growth tech and AI names through high growth tech and AI stocks for fresh ideas. With Coinbase shares down sharply this year despite a 3-year total shareholder return of about 1.5x, and analysts mixed but seeing room to the upside, you have to ask: is this a reset buying opportunity, or is future growth already priced in? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 53.1% Undervalued With Coinbase Global's last close at $179.66 and the most followed narrative pointing to a fair value near $383.46, the gap between story and share price is wide and very specific about why.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $366.536 for Coinbase Global based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $510.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $185.0.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what justifies a fair value above $380 while earnings are forecast to soften and margins adjust lower over time? The narrative refers to specific revenue growth, profitability and valuation multiples that are very different from today. Curious how those moving pieces combine to support that target range and discount rate? The full story breaks down the trade off between slower earnings, shifting margins and a much higher future P/E multiple. Result: Fair Value of $383.46 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, lower trading volumes and rising cybersecurity and compliance costs could quickly challenge the idea that higher margins and a richer future P/E will continue. Find out about the key risks to this Coinbase Global narrative. Another Take: Multiples Point to a Different Story While the most popular narrative leans on long term earnings forecasts and a higher future P/E, today Coinbase trades on a P/E of 15.1x. That is well below its peer average of 32.6x, the US Capital Markets industry at 22.5x, and a fair ratio of 21.6x that the market could move toward over time. If earnings genuinely trend lower, a lower multiple may make sense. However, if profits stabilize or cyclicality matters more than long run forecasts, that gap could signal mispricing. The question is which risk worries you more right now: paying up for a story, or underpaying for earnings that might prove less fragile than feared? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:COIN P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Coinbase Global for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 869 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Coinbase Global Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion or simply want to test your own assumptions, you can build a fresh Coinbase thesis in minutes by starting from the same data set and shaping it around your view with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Coinbase Global research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop at Coinbase, you could miss other stocks that better match your style, so put the Simply Wall St Screener to work and compare for yourself.  Hunt for lower priced opportunities that still meet your quality bar by scanning these 3532 penny stocks with strong financials and filtering for the traits that matter to you. Zero in on companies tied to artificial intelligence trends by checking out these 25 AI penny stocks and seeing which names fit your growth expectations. Focus on price tags that look appealing next to cash flow profiles by reviewing these 869 undervalued stocks based on cash flows and shortlisting ideas to research further.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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