Assessing Fox (FOXA) Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.02-09

AdvertisementFox stock performance snapshot Fox (FOXA) has been in focus after recent share price moves, with the stock showing a 1.7% decline over the past day and a 10.9% decline over the past week....

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The shares ended the last close at US$64.78.\nSee our latest analysis for Fox.\nThat short term weakness aligns with Fox's softer share price returns over the past month and quarter, although its 1 year and multi year total shareholder returns remain strongly positive. This suggests sentiment has cooled, but...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4125":"广播","FOXA":"福克斯-A","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"translate_title":"在近期股价疲软后评估福克斯(FOXA)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FOXA":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementFox stock performance snapshot Fox (FOXA) has been in focus after recent share price moves, with the stock showing a 1.7% decline over the past day and a 10.9% decline over the past week. The shares ended the last close at US$64.78. See our latest analysis for Fox. That short term weakness aligns with Fox's softer share price returns over the past month and quarter, although its 1 year and multi year total shareholder returns remain strongly positive. This suggests sentiment has cooled, but long term holders have still been rewarded. If recent media volatility has you reassessing your watchlist, it could be a good time to broaden your search and check out 22 top founder-led companies as potential fresh ideas. With Fox trading below some estimates of its potential value and recent returns looking mixed, the key question now is whether the current share price reflects a discount or if the market is already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 13.6% Undervalued At $64.78, Fox is trading below the most widely followed fair value estimate of $74.94, which is built around detailed assumptions for revenue, margins and valuation multiples.  Fox's significant pricing power and audience share in political and sports programming, demonstrated by record ad sales in the 2024 election cycle and upfront negotiations with double-digit volume and strong pricing growth, support a strong revenue outlook, even as linear TV faces broad industry headwinds.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path and margin profile sit behind that valuation gap, and how a higher future P/E and ongoing buybacks fit into the story, the full narrative lays out the exact earnings, revenue and discount rate assumptions that underpin the $74.94 fair value. Result: Fair Value of $74.94 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are still real watchpoints, including the risk that linear TV audience erosion outpaces Tubi’s progress and that rising sports rights costs squeeze margins more than expected. Find out about the key risks to this Fox narrative. Another angle on valuation The narrative fair value of $74.94 suggests Fox is 13.6% undervalued, but the simple P/E picture is more nuanced. The stock trades on 14.6x earnings, which is in line with the US Media industry average of 14.6x. This is still below a fair ratio of 20.7x that our work suggests the market could move toward. The question is whether that gap signals mispricing or simply reflects the business risks on the table. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:FOXA P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 Build Your Own Fox Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom Fox view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Fox research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Fox has your attention but you want a wider set of options, now is the time to scan the market for other compelling opportunities before they move.  Target resilient cash generators by reviewing companies in our 52 high quality undervalued stocks, where solid fundamentals meet prices that may not fully reflect their potential. Prioritise dependable income and capital discipline by checking out our 14 dividend fortresses, focused on companies with higher yields and a track record of returning cash to shareholders. Zero in on financial durability by using our solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (45 results), highlighting businesses with stronger balance sheets that can support their operations through tougher periods.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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