Is BlackLine (BL) Starting To Look Attractive After Prolonged Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.02-09

If you are wondering whether BlackLine is starting to look interesting at its current price, or why the stock has been marked down so much, this piece will help you frame that question through a clear...

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These figures may affect how you...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BL":"Blackline Inc.","LU1815336091.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL SMALLER COMPANIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0757428866.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL SMALLER COMPANIES \"AE\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"BlackLine(BL)在股价长期疲软后是否开始看起来有吸引力","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BL":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether BlackLine is starting to look interesting at its current price, or why the stock has been marked down so much, this piece will help you frame that question through a clear valuation lens. BlackLine's share price closed at US$43.85, with returns of a 5.6% decline over 7 days, a 22.5% decline over 30 days, an 18.5% decline year to date, a 32.2% decline over 1 year, a 39.6% decline over 3 years, and a 67.1% decline over 5 years. These figures may affect how you think about both risk and potential future rewards. These moves are setting the backdrop for investors who are reassessing what they are willing to pay for BlackLine, with recent news flows keeping attention on how the business is positioned and how the market is pricing software names like this. That context matters because valuation frameworks often react slowly to changing sentiment, even when the share price has already adjusted. On our checks, BlackLine currently holds a valuation score of 3/6, which means it looks undervalued on half of the measures we track. Next, we will walk through what those approaches actually say, before finishing with a more holistic way to think about value that many investors overlook.  Find out why BlackLine's -32.2% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: BlackLine Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis The Discounted Cash Flow model takes BlackLine's expected future cash flows and discounts them back to today's dollars, so you can compare that stream of cash to the current share price. BlackLine's latest twelve month free cash flow is about $155 million. Using a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model based on analyst projections and then extending those forecasts, Simply Wall St estimates free cash flow rising to around $513 million by 2035. Within that path, one explicit data point is a projected $338.6 million in free cash flow for 2029, with a series of annual estimates and extrapolations between 2026 and 2035. When those projected cash flows are discounted back, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about US$98.18 per share, compared with the current share price of US$43.85. That gap implies the shares trade at roughly a 55.3% discount to this DCF estimate, which suggests the market price is materially below the value implied by these cash flow assumptions. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests BlackLine is undervalued by 55.3%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 52 more high quality undervalued stocks. BL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for BlackLine. Approach 2: BlackLine Price vs Earnings For a profitable business, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to connect what you pay for each share with the earnings that support that price. It is essentially a shorthand for how many years of current earnings the market is willing to pay for. What counts as a \"normal\" P/E depends a lot on how investors see growth potential and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk often justify a higher P/E, while slower expected growth or higher risk tend to anchor the P/E lower. BlackLine currently trades on a P/E of 34.3x. That sits above the broader Software industry average of 26.94x, yet below the peer group average of 61.45x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for BlackLine of 23.49x, which reflects what the P/E might be given the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risks. This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple comparison with industry or peers, because it adjusts for the mix of growth, risk and profitability rather than treating all software names as comparable. Set against BlackLine’s actual P/E of 34.3x, the Fair Ratio of 23.49x suggests that the shares may be trading at a relatively high price on an earnings basis. Result: OVERVALUED NasdaqGS:BL P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 22 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your BlackLine Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. This simply means writing the story you believe about BlackLine and tying that story to clear numbers such as your fair value, revenue, earnings and margin assumptions. A Narrative links what you think is happening in the business to a financial forecast, and then to a fair value that you can compare directly with the current share price to decide whether the stock looks expensive or attractive for you personally. On Simply Wall St, Narratives sit inside the Community page. You can quickly plug in your assumptions, see an instant fair value, and use that as a guide for when you might want to buy, hold or sell, without needing to build a spreadsheet. Narratives are also refreshed when new information such as earnings reports or news is added. This means your fair value view can adjust as the facts about BlackLine change over time, and you can see how one investor who expects stronger margins might arrive at a far higher fair value than another investor who assumes slower revenue growth and more conservative profitability. Do you think there's more to the story for BlackLine? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:BL 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if BlackLine might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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