A Look At Five Below (FIVE) Valuation After Record Holiday Sales And Analyst Upgrades

Simply Wall St.02-11

Recent headlines around Five Below (FIVE) center on its best holiday sales performance in history, fresh store openings and leases, and a wave of analyst upgrades that together pushed the stock to a ...

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The latest move saw a...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["rate","earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"FIVE":"Five Below"},"translate_title":"创纪录的假日销售和分析师升级后估值低于五（五）","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FIVE":1.5},"content_text":"Recent headlines around Five Below (FIVE) center on its best holiday sales performance in history, fresh store openings and leases, and a wave of analyst upgrades that together pushed the stock to a new 52 week high. See our latest analysis for Five Below. Those record holiday results and fresh store openings have been backed up by the market, with Five Below’s share price gaining 35.31% over the past 90 days and a 132.80% total shareholder return over the last year. The latest move saw a 1.31% daily share price pullback to US$206.68. If Five Below’s momentum has caught your eye, this can be a good moment to see what else is moving and check out 22 top founder-led companies. With Five Below now trading near its 52 week high after a 132.80% total shareholder return over the past year, the key question is whether the current price still leaves upside on the table or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 4.9% Undervalued The most followed narrative pegs Five Below’s fair value at $217.33, slightly above the last close at $206.68, which frames the recent run in a different light.  Operational simplification strategies including price point rationalization, SKU rationalization, and improved inventory flow are driving in store efficiency, higher conversion, better in stocks, and lower operational complexity. This should support future SG&A leverage and net margin expansion as store level productivity improves.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue climb, margin profile, and future earnings multiple have to come together to back a fair value above $200? The full narrative lays out a detailed earnings path, a richer margin structure, and a premium P/E that all have to line up for that number to make sense. Result: Fair Value of $217.33 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you also need to weigh risks such as tariff and import cost pressure on margins, as well as the possibility that rapid store expansion dilutes new store productivity. Find out about the key risks to this Five Below narrative. Another Way To Look At Valuation That 4.9% “undervalued” fair value of US$217.33 sits alongside a very different message from the P/E. Five Below trades on 37.5x earnings, compared with a fair ratio of 20x, the US Specialty Retail average of 20.7x, and a peer average of 26.4x. That kind of gap can leave less room for error on growth and margins. So which picture do you trust more? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:FIVE P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 Build Your Own Five Below Narrative If you read this and think the story looks different to you, or you just prefer running the numbers yourself, you can spin up your own view in a few minutes and Do it your way. A great starting point for your Five Below research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Five Below is on your radar, do not stop there, you could miss other opportunities that fit your style and strengthen your overall investing plan.  Target durable value by scanning for quality companies trading below their estimated worth using 52 high quality undervalued stocks that match your return expectations and risk comfort. Grow your income stream by focusing on companies built around consistent payouts with 14 dividend fortresses that might complement growth focused holdings. Sleep easier by concentrating on balance sheet strength and resilience through the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (45 results) that prioritizes financial robustness.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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