A Look At Wanguo Gold Group (SEHK:3939) Valuation After Bullish 2025 Guidance And New Expert Committee

Simply Wall St.02-09

Wanguo Gold Group (SEHK:3939) has drawn fresh attention after issuing 2025 earnings guidance that points to a very large profit uplift, alongside forming a new Strategic Development Committee packed ...

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See our latest analysis for Wanguo Gold Group. These earnings targets and senior appointments come after a period of strong momentum, with the 30 day share price return of 53.93% and year to date share price return of 86.79% sitting alongside a very large 1 year total shareholder return of 323.22%. If you are looking beyond a single gold producer, this could be a good moment to scan our list of 21 elite gold producer stocks to see what else is catching the market’s attention. With the share price already very strong and the stock trading above its HK$13.18 analyst price target and intrinsic value estimate, the key question now is whether there is still a buying opportunity or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementPreferred P/E of 62.7x: Is it justified? On a P/E of 62.7x, Wanguo Gold Group is priced well above both its peer average of 44.4x and the Hong Kong Metals and Mining industry average of 19x. The P/E ratio compares the current share price with earnings per share, so a higher P/E usually means the market is willing to pay more today for each unit of earnings. For a mining group like Wanguo, that can reflect expectations for strong future profit growth, confidence in recent results, or both. Here, the P/E sits not only above peers but also above an estimated fair P/E of 30.1x. That gap suggests the market is assigning a premium that is well ahead of the level our fair ratio model indicates the valuation could move toward over time. At the same time, the company has high quality earnings, a Return on Equity of 26.4%, and past earnings growth of 108.3% over the last year compared with a 5 year average of 43.3% per year, which may help explain why some investors are prepared to pay such a high multiple. Relative to the broader Hong Kong Metals and Mining industry average of 19x, the current 62.7x P/E stands out sharply, pointing to expectations that are much stronger than for the typical name in the sector. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Wanguo Gold Group Result: Price-to-Earnings of 62.7x (OVERVALUED) However, such a rich P/E can be vulnerable if earnings guidance is missed or if sentiment turns on gold prices and broader metals demand. Find out about the key risks to this Wanguo Gold Group narrative. Another view: DCF points to a different story While the 62.7x P/E suggests Wanguo Gold Group is richly priced, our DCF model points to an intrinsic value of around HK$12.90 per share, compared with the current HK$14.70. That implies the shares look overvalued on this method too. What could change that picture? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 3939 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Wanguo Gold Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 238 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Wanguo Gold Group Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to rely on your own work, you can build a custom thesis around the same data in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Wanguo Gold Group research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop with just one stock, you risk missing other opportunities that fit your style, so use the screener to widen your field of options.  Target potential mispricing by scanning our list of 238 high quality undervalued stocks that pair quality fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them. Strengthen your income focus by reviewing 435 dividend fortresses that combine higher yields with an emphasis on durability. Prioritise resilience by checking the 333 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on financial stability and risk factors.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Wanguo Gold Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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