Assessing Hexcel (HXL) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.02-10

AdvertisementHexcel’s recent performance and what it could mean for investors Hexcel (HXL) has attracted fresh attention after a strong past 3 months, with the stock showing a 25.03% total return and ...

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This suggests momentum has been building rather than fading.\nIf Hexcel’s...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0205194284.USD":"SCHRODER ISF US SMALL & MID-CAP EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC AV","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK7067":"生物科技","LU0240877869.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL SMALL COMPANIES \"A\" ACC","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK7508":"医药生物股","LU0205193047.USD":"SCHRODER ISF US SMALL & MID-CAP EQUITY \"A\" (USD)  ACC","HXL.AU":"HEXIMA LTD","LU0240878834.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL SMALL COMPANIES \"A\" (USD) INC AV","LU0053671581.USD":"摩根大通美国小盘成长股 A(dist)","HXL":"赫氏"},"translate_title":"在近期股价强劲势头后评估赫氏(HXL)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"HXL.AU":1.5,"HXL":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementHexcel’s recent performance and what it could mean for investors Hexcel (HXL) has attracted fresh attention after a strong past 3 months, with the stock showing a 25.03% total return and a 32.49% total return over the past year. See our latest analysis for Hexcel. At a share price of $86.06, Hexcel’s recent 7 day and 90 day share price returns of 5.48% and 25.03% sit alongside a 32.49% 1 year total shareholder return. This suggests momentum has been building rather than fading. If Hexcel’s move has you looking beyond a single name, this could be a good moment to see what else is setting up well among 24 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks. Hexcel now trades almost exactly in line with the current analyst price target, yet sits at a roughly 37% discount to one intrinsic value estimate. This raises the question of whether there is genuine upside left here or if the market is already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 1% Overvalued Hexcel’s last close of $86.06 sits just above the most followed narrative fair value of $85, with that view built on detailed growth and margin assumptions.  Long-term, multi-decade backlogs and production lifecycles for new aircraft programs (A350, 787, and others), combined with an ongoing global push for decarbonization and efficiency, are structurally shifting demand toward lightweight composites, strengthening Hexcel's volume outlook and providing the base for sustained top-line and cash flow growth.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path, margin rebuild, and future earnings multiple are baked into that fair value line? The full narrative lays out those moving parts in plain numbers. Result: Fair Value of $85 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you still need to watch for supply chain setbacks or production delays at major customers, as well as the pressure of long running fixed price contracts on margins. Find out about the key risks to this Hexcel narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Point a Very Different Way That most followed fair value of $85 paints Hexcel as slightly overvalued, but our DCF model comes out in a very different place. Using projected cash flows, it suggests a value of about $137.30 per share, which frames today’s $86.06 price as a steep discount. So which story do you find more convincing: the narrative fair value or the cash flow math? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. HXL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Hexcel for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 52 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Hexcel Narrative If you see the data pointing in a different direction, or just want to test your own assumptions, you can build a full narrative in minutes using Do it your way. A great starting point for your Hexcel research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are weighing up what to do next, this is the moment to widen your watchlist and pressure test your thinking against other opportunities.  Spot potential value plays by scanning companies our screener flags as 52 high quality undervalued stocks that pair quality fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them. Aim for stability first and return second by reviewing 82 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on resilience and conservative risk profiles. Hunt for future leaders early with our screener containing 24 high quality undiscovered gems that combine solid underlying metrics with relatively low market attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Hexcel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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