Reassessing Oshkosh (OSK) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.02-11

AdvertisementWhy Oshkosh (OSK) is Getting Attention Now Oshkosh (OSK) has been drawing fresh interest as its shares recently closed at $172.52, with gains over the past week, month, and past 3 months ...

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The 1 year total shareholder return of 59.3% and 3 year total shareholder return of...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"OSK":"Oshkosh","BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","LU0054578231.USD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL SMALLCAP \"A2\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"在近期股价势头强劲后重新评估奥什科什(OSK)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"OSK":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Oshkosh (OSK) is Getting Attention Now Oshkosh (OSK) has been drawing fresh interest as its shares recently closed at $172.52, with gains over the past week, month, and past 3 months prompting investors to reassess the stock’s current pricing. See our latest analysis for Oshkosh. The recent 15.4% 7 day share price return and 38.6% 90 day share price return add to a year to date share price return of 30.5%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 59.3% and 3 year total shareholder return of 97.6% indicate momentum that has been building over time. If Oshkosh’s move has you looking beyond a single name, this may be a moment to scan 24 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks for other infrastructure linked opportunities that might fit your watchlist. After a run like this, the key question is whether Oshkosh’s current share price and modest intrinsic discount hint at remaining value or if the market is already baking in much of its future growth potential. Most Popular Narrative: 7.5% Overvalued Oshkosh’s most followed narrative puts fair value around $160.53, which sits below the recent $172.52 close and flags a modest valuation premium.  Expansion of large-scale infrastructure projects and growth in data center construction are fueling robust demand for Oshkosh's specialty vehicles and equipment, creating a multi-year tailwind for order volume and sustained revenue growth.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what is built into that $160.53 figure? The narrative leans on steady revenue compounding, fatter margins and a future earnings multiple that undercuts many Machinery peers. The detailed forecast path is where the story really gets interesting. Result: Fair Value of $160.53 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you also need to weigh the risk that shifts in government contract funding, or renewed tariff and supply chain pressures, could undercut those margin and earnings assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Oshkosh narrative. Another Take: Market Multiple Sends a Different Signal While the fair value narrative points to Oshkosh as 7.5% overvalued around $160.53, the current P/E of 16.9x looks restrained compared with the US Machinery average of 29.2x and a fair ratio of 28.5x. If the market ever shifted closer to that fair ratio, would today’s premium still look stretched? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:OSK P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 Build Your Own Oshkosh Narrative If you look at these numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to trust your own work, you can build a custom thesis in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Oshkosh research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Oshkosh is on your radar, do not stop there. Use this moment to line up a few more candidates that could earn a spot on your watchlist.  Target potential value opportunities by scanning 52 high quality undervalued stocks that our screener flags for strong fundamentals paired with pricing that may warrant a closer look. Prioritise resilience by reviewing 82 resilient stocks with low risk scores, built around companies that our models rate with lower risk profiles. Hunt for early stage opportunities by checking the 26 elite penny stocks with strong financials that meet our quality filters before they appear on everyone else’s radar.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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