Assessing Kodiak AI (KDK) Valuation After Recent Share Price Swings

Simply Wall St.02-12

Kodiak AI (KDK) has attracted fresh attention after recent share price swings, with the stock showing a negative return over the past month but a positive move across the past 3 months. See our latest...

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See our latest...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-kdk/kodiak-ai/news/assessing-kodiak-ai-kdk-valuation-after-recent-share-price-s\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Assessing Kodiak AI (KDK) Valuation After Recent Share Price Swings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Kodiak AI (KDK) Valuation After Recent Share Price Swings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-12 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-kdk/kodiak-ai/news/assessing-kodiak-ai-kdk-valuation-after-recent-share-price-s><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Kodiak AI (KDK) has attracted fresh attention after recent share price swings, with the stock showing a negative return over the past month but a positive move across the past 3 months. See our latest...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-kdk/kodiak-ai/news/assessing-kodiak-ai-kdk-valuation-after-recent-share-price-s\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4551","symbol_name":"寇图资本持仓","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-kdk/kodiak-ai/news/assessing-kodiak-ai-kdk-valuation-after-recent-share-price-s","article_id":"2610919849","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4012000-choice2-main-header/1585186808051"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/automobiles/nasdaq-kdk/kodiak-ai/news/assessing-kodiak-ai-kdk-valuation-after-recent-share-price-s","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2610919849","pubTimestamp":1770859852,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Kodiak AI (KDK) has attracted fresh attention after recent share price swings, with the stock showing a negative return over the past month but a positive move across the past 3 months.\nSee our latest analysis for Kodiak AI.\nThat recent 11.6% 1 month share price decline and 20.4% year to date share price return fall sit against a 32.3% 3 month share price return. Meanwhile, the 1 year total shareholder return is 21.9% lower, suggesting shorter term momentum has cooled after a stronger...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","KDK":"Kodiak Robotics","BK4543":"AI","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4124":"机动车零配件与设备","BK4528":"SaaS概念"},"translate_title":"在近期股价波动后评估Kodiak AI(KDK)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AI":0.9,"KDK":1.5},"content_text":"Kodiak AI (KDK) has attracted fresh attention after recent share price swings, with the stock showing a negative return over the past month but a positive move across the past 3 months. See our latest analysis for Kodiak AI. That recent 11.6% 1 month share price decline and 20.4% year to date share price return fall sit against a 32.3% 3 month share price return. Meanwhile, the 1 year total shareholder return is 21.9% lower, suggesting shorter term momentum has cooled after a stronger rebound. If Kodiak AI’s swings have you thinking about how other autonomy and AI names are trading, it could be a good time to scan 58 profitable AI stocks that aren't just burning cash as a starting list of potential ideas. With Kodiak AI trading at US$8.62 and sitting at a large discount to both analyst targets and some intrinsic estimates, investors may question whether this reflects a mispriced autonomy opportunity or whether the market is already factoring in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 38.4% Undervalued At a last close of $8.62 versus a narrative fair value of $14.00, Kodiak AI is being framed as a discounted autonomy play with meaningful upside potential according to davidlsander.  The \"hard path\" is not just about building self-driving trucks; it is about creating a scalable, asset-light Driver-as-a-Service (DaaS) platform with the potential for software-grade gross margins of 60-80%. The investment thesis hinges on Kodiak's superior technology, disciplined execution, and a clear path to commercialization, a thesis recently validated by significant, high-conviction investments from two of the world's most respected funds: Cathie Wood's ARK Invest and George Soros's Soros Fund Management.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how that valuation comes together? The narrative leans heavily on rapid revenue expansion, software style margins, and a future earnings multiple that assumes meaningful commercial scale. If you want to see exactly how those pieces fit into the $14.00 figure, the full narrative lays out the numbers in detail. Result: Fair Value of $14.00 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this story can unravel quickly if Kodiak fails to reach profitable scale before its cash runway tightens, or if heavy future share issuance meaningfully dilutes existing holders. Find out about the key risks to this Kodiak AI narrative.  Build Your Own Kodiak AI Narrative If you see Kodiak AI differently, or prefer to stress test the numbers yourself, you can build a tailored thesis in minutes: Do it your way A great starting point for your Kodiak AI research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about broadening your watchlist, do not stop at one autonomy name. Use the Simply Wall St screener to uncover more focused opportunities fast.  Target potential value opportunities by scanning our list of 52 high quality undervalued stocks that combine quality fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them yet. Prioritize resilience and sleep better at night by checking out 85 resilient stocks with low risk scores, built around companies that currently carry lower overall risk scores. Spot future candidates early by reviewing the screener containing 24 high quality undiscovered gems, a curated set of financially strong names that fewer investors may be watching closely.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Kodiak AI might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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