How Oshkosh’s 2026 EPS Guidance, Dividend Hike, And Buyback Completion At Oshkosh (OSK) Has Changed Its Investment Story

Simply Wall St.02-12

Oshkosh Corporation recently reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, issued 2026 earnings guidance of approximately US$10.90 diluted EPS, raised its quarterly dividend to US$0.57 per ...

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Taken together, these updates highlight how Oshkosh is balancing reinvestment with increasing cash returns to shareholders, while offering clearer visibility into its expected profitability for 2026. Next, we’ll examine how Oshkosh’s new 2026 earnings guidance reshapes the existing investment narrative built around growth, margins, and buybacks. Uncover the next big thing with 28 elite penny stocks that balance risk and reward.AdvertisementOshkosh Investment Narrative RecapTo own Oshkosh, you need to believe its mix of defense, Access, and Vocational businesses can translate steady contract and infrastructure demand into resilient earnings, even as tariffs, government budget decisions, and cyclical construction trends remain key swing factors. The latest earnings, dividend increase, and 2026 EPS guidance do not fundamentally change the near term story, but they sharpen the focus on execution risk against a backdrop of softer recent margins. The most relevant update here is the 2026 diluted EPS guidance of about US$10.90, which sits only modestly above 2025’s US$10.02 result. Against catalysts such as defense contract visibility and infrastructure driven demand, this guidance frames what management currently sees as a realistic earnings run rate, while reminding investors that cost pressures, access equipment pricing, and contract timing remain important constraints on how quickly Oshkosh’s earnings power can advance. Yet beneath the higher dividend and solid guidance, investors should still be aware that Oshkosh’s dependence on large US government defense contracts could... Read the full narrative on Oshkosh (it's free!)Oshkosh's narrative projects $12.0 billion revenue and $940.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $289.8 million earnings increase from $650.4 million today.Uncover how Oshkosh's forecasts yield a $160.53 fair value, a 8% downside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesOSK 1-Year Stock Price Chart Before this news, the most optimistic analysts were assuming earnings could reach about US$1.0 billion by 2028, but they also warned that slower innovation in electrified and autonomous vehicles could cap long term growth. This sets up a more bullish but also more fragile story than the consensus view, and it is a useful reminder that your own expectations for Oshkosh may shift as you weigh these competing narratives against the company’s latest guidance.Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Oshkosh - why the stock might be worth as much as 7% more than the current price!Build Your Own Oshkosh NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Oshkosh research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free Oshkosh research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Oshkosh's overall financial health at a glance.No Opportunity In Oshkosh?Right now could be the best entry point. These picks are fresh from our daily scans. Don't delay:Rare earth metals are the new gold rush. Find out which 32 stocks are leading the charge.Find 51 companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.Outshine the giants: these 26 early-stage AI stocks could fund your retirement.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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