Assessing Catapult Sports (ASX:CAT) Valuation After Perch P2 Expands Athlete And Rehab Monitoring

Simply Wall St.02-14

Catapult Sports (ASX:CAT) has put its product roadmap in focus after unveiling Perch P2, a next generation velocity-based training system that broadens its athlete monitoring ecosystem into gym, field...

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The 3 year total shareholder return is more than 3x, suggesting long...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1974910355.USD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS USD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK7016":"应用软件","BK4520":"美国基建股","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","BK4588":"碎股","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","CAT.AU":"CATAPULT GROUP INTERNATIONAL","BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","BK4597":"股息贵族","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","BK7084":"电子设备和仪器","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0942090050.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD)  INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU2106854487.HKD":"ALLIANZ THEMATICA \"AMG\" (HKD) INC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","BK4516":"特朗普概念","CAT":"卡特彼勒","LU0868494708.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) INC"},"translate_title":"Perch P2扩大运动员和康复监测后评估Catapult Sports(ASX：CAT)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CAT":1.5,"DCF":1,"CAT.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Catapult Sports (ASX:CAT) has put its product roadmap in focus after unveiling Perch P2, a next generation velocity-based training system that broadens its athlete monitoring ecosystem into gym, field, rehab and recovery settings. See our latest analysis for Catapult Sports. The Perch P2 launch lands after a tough stretch for the shares, with a 30 day share price return of 19.61% and a 90 day share price return of 37.94%. The 3 year total shareholder return is more than 3x, suggesting long term holders have still seen strong gains even as recent momentum has faded. If this kind of sports tech rollout has your attention, it could be a good time to see what else is out there via our screener of 2 top founder-led companies. With the shares down 19.61% over 30 days and 37.94% over 90 days, plus a current price of A$3.32 sitting well below a consensus target of A$6.10, is Catapult overlooked value, or is the market already baking in future growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 47.1% Undervalued Against a last close of A$3.32, the most followed narrative pegs Catapult Sports at a fair value of A$6.28, implying a large valuation gap that hinges on aggressive earnings and revenue assumptions.  The company's operating leverage has resulted in a 75% year-over-year incremental profit margin, highlighting efficiencies that are expected to enhance net margins as the business scales. Expansion into the growing women's sports market and potential adoption of new technologies by major leagues (e.g., NFL) represent significant growth opportunities that could positively impact revenue and contribute to sustained earnings growth.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue climb, margin shift, and future profit multiple have to line up to justify that fair value gap? The narrative leans heavily on contract value momentum, operating leverage and an earnings trajectory that assumes Catapult matures into a much more profitable software style business. The bold part is how rich the implied future valuation multiple needs to be to make the numbers balance. Result: Fair Value of A$6.28 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are real pressure points here, including reliance on a few core sports like American Football and soccer, as well as execution risk around new product adoption. Find out about the key risks to this Catapult Sports narrative. Another View: DCF Flags Overvaluation Risk That A$6.28 fair value from the narrative sits awkwardly against our DCF model, which points to a future cash flow value of A$1.44 per share. In this context, the shares look expensive rather than cheap, so which story do you feel more comfortable leaning on? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. CAT Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Catapult Sports for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 12 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Catapult Sports Narrative If you are not fully sold on any single view or prefer to lean on your own work, you can pull the same data, stress test the assumptions, and Do it your way in just a few minutes. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Catapult Sports. Looking for more investment ideas? Do not stop at one sports tech name. Broaden your watchlist with fresh ideas that match your risk comfort and income goals using focused stock lists.  Target resilient compounding potential by scanning companies on our 12 high quality undervalued stocks that pair quality fundamentals with what may be conservative expectations. Lock in income focused ideas by reviewing our 9 dividend fortresses, where yields and balance sheet strength sit side by side. Prioritise peace of mind by starting with the 5 resilient stocks with low risk scores, highlighting businesses with lower risk scores and sturdier financial profiles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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