Ripple CEO: 90% Chance Crypto Bill Passes By April, But What Do Prediction Markets Say?

Benzinga02-20

Ripple (CRYPTO: XRP) CEO Brad Garlinghouse raised his Clarity Act odds to 90% by end of April following a White House meeting Thursday between crypto and banking leaders.The White House MeetingRipple ...

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A win for the crypto industry, a win for the banks and a win for the American consumer.”The Stablecoin Yield DisputeBanks want a broad ban on stablecoin yields, arguing crypto firms shouldn’t distribute interest to users. Crypto firms counter that such a ban stifles innovation and gives traditional banks an unfair advantage.The Digital Chamber proposed a compromise: exempt stablecoin yields when users participate in activities like liquidity provision and staking, rather than a blanket ban. Whether banking representatives accept this proposal remains unclear.The White House set an end-of-February deadline for compromise. With that approaching, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Congress last week to pass the bill this spring. Senator Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio), a Senate Banking Committee member, also said at Tuesday’s World Liberty Forum the bill could pass by April.The Prediction Market ReactionOn Kalshi, odds that the Clarity Act becomes law before June briefly spiked to 85% Thursday morning from 39% Wednesday evening following Armstrong and Moreno’s statements. However, odds quickly slid back to 46% after the surge.Odds the bill passes before 2027 hovered around 71% Thursday, down from an overnight high of 87%. The volatility suggests traders remain uncertain despite optimistic rhetoric from industry leaders.Image: ShutterstockMarket News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. 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