Assessing BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.02-18

AdvertisementBrightSpring Health Services: recent performance snapshot BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) has drawn attention after a mixed stretch in its share price, with a 1% decline over the past...

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See our latest analysis for BrightSpring Health Services. At a share price of US$38.46, BrightSpring’s recent 1 day and 1 week share price returns are modestly negative, but a 90 day share price return of 19.22% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 73.63% point to building momentum as investors reassess its growth and risk profile. If this move in healthcare services has caught your eye, it could be a good moment to see what else is gaining attention, starting with 25 healthcare AI stocks as a curated set of ideas. With BrightSpring posting solid recent returns and trading at US$38.46 against an analyst price target of US$44.47, is the current discount hinting at upside, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 8.3% Undervalued At $38.46, the most followed valuation narrative points to a fair value of about $41.93, suggesting the market price sits below that central estimate.  The accelerating demographic shift toward an older population is driving higher volumes in home health, hospice, and rehab, with BrightSpring gaining share (double-digit census and revenue growth reported). This increases the company's addressable market and underpins durable, long-term topline growth.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path and margin lift would need to line up for that fair value to make sense over time? The full narrative spells out the growth, profitability and valuation multiple assumptions that sit behind that $41.93 figure, and shows how they connect back to BrightSpring’s current earnings base and sector backdrop. Result: Fair Value of $41.93 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on some big ifs, including continued access to limited distribution drug contracts and the impact of reimbursement or regulatory changes on margins. Find out about the key risks to this BrightSpring Health Services narrative. Another View: Earnings Multiple Sends A Different Signal While the narrative fair value suggests BrightSpring is 8.3% undervalued, the current P/E of 72x paints a different picture. It is higher than the US Healthcare industry at 23.6x, peers at 53.5x, and the fair ratio of 31.9x. This points to valuation risk if expectations cool. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:BTSG P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026Next Steps All of this paints a mixed picture, so if you are interested, it makes sense to review the full data now and weigh it up against your own expectations. To help with that, you can see a concise breakdown of 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs and decide how that balance sits with your goals. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop with just one stock on your radar, you could miss other opportunities entirely, so use the screener to broaden your watchlist with purpose.  Target potential value by scanning companies trading below their estimated worth using our 56 high quality undervalued stocks that filters for quality and price together. Strengthen your income focus by checking out dependable payers through the 13 dividend fortresses that highlights companies with higher yields. Protect your downside by shortlisting companies that score well on stability with the 81 resilient stocks with low risk scores for a more resilient set of ideas.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if BrightSpring Health Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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