Assessing Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Valuation After Stablecoin Launch And Mixed Analyst And Institutional Activity

Simply Wall St.07:29

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) has been in focus after launching a stablecoin settlement platform, while analysts issued mixed views and the University of Illinois Foundation lifted its position during recent...

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Recent enthusiasm around the...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU2125909916.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A SGD","IE0009354923.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US VENTURE \"A2\" (USD) ACC","FOUR":"Shift4 Payments, Inc.","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1878469433.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) - AMERICAN SMALLER COMPANIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","LU1923622291.USD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A USD","LU2360107671.USD":"BGF FINTECH \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4227":"交易和支付处理服务","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","LU2125909759.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety H-R/A SGD","IE00BFMHRM44.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL EQUITY MEGATRENDS \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"评估稳定币推出后Shift4 Payments（四）估值以及分析师和机构的混合活动","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FOUR":1.5},"content_text":"Shift4 Payments (FOUR) has been in focus after launching a stablecoin settlement platform, while analysts issued mixed views and the University of Illinois Foundation lifted its position during recent share price weakness. See our latest analysis for Shift4 Payments. At a share price of US$58.49, Shift4 Payments has seen a 6.33% 7 day share price return, but a 30 day share price return decline of 11.66% and a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 38.43%. Recent enthusiasm around the stablecoin rollout, mixed analyst commentary and renewed institutional interest is therefore coming against a backdrop of fading momentum over the past year. If you are looking beyond payments and crypto themed news, it could be a good moment to see what else stands out in our screener of 17 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks for more ideas in this area. With the shares down over the past year despite double digit revenue and net income growth, and trading at a discount to the average analyst price target, the key question is whether this weakness is an opening or if markets already reflect future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 39% Undervalued At a last close of $58.49 against a narrative fair value of about $95.86, the most followed view sees a sizeable valuation gap that rests heavily on expansion and higher margin potential.  The broad adoption and integration of value added services (such as unified software and POS solutions like SkyTab) is driving higher merchant adoption internationally and domestically, supporting an increase in net spreads and boosting recurring, higher margin revenue streams.  Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue climb and margin lift would need to materialize for this gap to close? The narrative leans on brisk top line growth, a step up in profitability and a richer earnings multiple that together aim to justify that higher fair value. Result: Fair Value of $95.86 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this upside narrative still hinges on the smooth integration of recent acquisitions and on hospitality and restaurant volumes avoiding a deeper, longer hit from weaker demand. Find out about the key risks to this Shift4 Payments narrative. Another Angle: Earnings Multiple Paints a Tighter Picture While the narrative fair value of about $95.86 suggests upside, the current P/E of 24x sits only slightly above the 23.9x fair ratio our model points to, and above the 17.8x industry average, yet below the 37.2x peer average. That mix hints at both upside potential and valuation risk, so which side matters more to you? See what the numbers say about this price, and find out more detail in our valuation breakdown. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:FOUR P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026Next Steps Given the mixed signals around valuation and sentiment so far, it makes sense to check the underlying data yourself and move quickly to shape your own view. You can start with our breakdown of 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign. Ready to hunt for your next idea? If FOUR has caught your attention, do not stop here. You have a chance to compare it with other ideas and sharpen your watchlist before the crowd.  Target quality at a discount by scanning our list of 54 high quality undervalued stocks that pair stronger fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them. Prioritise resilience by checking out solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (43 results) that focus on companies with sturdier financial footing and less fragile capital structures. Spot under followed opportunities by reviewing our screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems that highlight businesses with solid metrics that fewer investors are watching.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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