Record Earnings, Cash Flow And Dividend Hike Could Be A Game Changer For AngloGold Ashanti (AU)

Simply Wall St.02-23

AngloGold Ashanti plc has already reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, nearly tripling annual net income to US$2.64 billion and declaring a Q4 interim dividend of US$1.73 per share,...

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This combination of sharply higher earnings, record free cash flow of about US$2.90 billion, and a total US$1.80 billion in 2025 dividends highlights how recent operational improvements and higher realised gold prices are translating into substantial cash returns to shareholders. Building on this surge in profitability and cash returns, we’ll now examine how record free cash flow reshapes AngloGold Ashanti’s existing investment narrative. Uncover the next big thing with 32 elite penny stocks that balance risk and reward.AdvertisementAngloGold Ashanti Investment Narrative RecapTo own AngloGold Ashanti today, you need to be comfortable with a gold miner that has turned strong bullion prices and tighter operations into large, cash-backed payouts, while accepting that rising costs and royalty burdens could still squeeze margins. The fresh Q4 and 2025 numbers reinforce the near term catalyst of cash returns via record free cash flow, but they do not remove the key risk of structurally higher total cash costs and all in sustaining costs. The Q4 2025 interim dividend of US$1.73 per share, taking total 2025 dividends to US$1.80 billion, is the clearest link between record free cash flow and the investment case right now. It underlines how quickly higher realised gold prices and cost control turned into distributions, but also puts a spotlight on whether this payout intensity is sustainable if royalties, inflation and ore grades keep pushing costs higher. Yet behind these record dividends, investors should be aware that rising royalty-linked costs could... Read the full narrative on AngloGold Ashanti (it's free!)AngloGold Ashanti's narrative projects $9.5 billion revenue and $3.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 7.6% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.2 billion earnings increase from $1.8 billion today.Uncover how AngloGold Ashanti's forecasts yield a $98.00 fair value, a 14% downside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesAU 1-Year Stock Price Chart While consensus focuses on steady progress, the most optimistic analysts were already pencilling in about US$10.8 billion of revenue and US$3.3 billion of earnings, so this latest cash surge could either support that view or force everyone to rethink how much is already priced in.Explore 10 other fair value estimates on AngloGold Ashanti - why the stock might be worth as much as 91% more than the current price!Form Your Own VerdictDon't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.A great starting point for your AngloGold Ashanti research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.Our free AngloGold Ashanti research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate AngloGold Ashanti's overall financial health at a glance.Interested In Other Possibilities?Our top stock finds are flying under the radar-for now. Get in early:The future of work is here. Discover the 32 top robotics and automation stocks leading the charge in AI-driven automation and industrial transformation.Invest in the nuclear renaissance through our list of 85 elite nuclear energy infrastructure plays powering the global AI revolution.Capitalize on the AI infrastructure supercycle with our selection of the 34 best 'picks and shovels' of the AI gold rush converting record-breaking demand into massive cash flow.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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