Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) Is Up 10.1% After Swing Back To Profitability - Has The Bull Case Changed?

Simply Wall St.12:49

Mineral Resources Limited reported past half-year results to 31 December 2025, with sales rising to A$3,052 million from A$2,290 million and net income improving to A$495 million from a A$809 million ...

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This shift from a loss per share of A$4.104 to earnings per share of about A$2.51 highlights a sharp improvement in operational profitability. We will now examine how this strong return to profitability, including the swing back to positive earnings per share, affects Mineral Resources’ investment narrative. Invest in the nuclear renaissance through our list of 84 elite nuclear energy infrastructure plays powering the global AI revolution.AdvertisementMineral Resources Investment Narrative RecapTo own Mineral Resources today, you need to believe that its mix of mining services, iron ore and lithium can convert recent profit recovery into sustainable cash generation, despite commodity price swings and heavy project spending. The strong return to profitability over the half year is helpful for shoring up confidence in the balance sheet, but it does not remove the near term risk that high capex and interest costs could squeeze returns if prices soften again. Among recent developments, the company’s issue of US$700 million in 7.000% senior unsecured notes due 2031 to refinance existing higher coupon notes stands out alongside these results. Together, the refinancing and the move back to positive earnings show Mineral Resources actively reshaping its debt profile while trying to repair the balance sheet, which sits at the heart of both the main short term catalyst and the key risk to the current investment case. Yet against this recovery, investors should be aware that elevated debt and interest costs could still become a serious problem if... Read the full narrative on Mineral Resources (it's free!)Mineral Resources' narrative projects A$5.8 billion revenue and A$284.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 9.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about A$1.19 billion from A$-904.0 million today.Uncover how Mineral Resources' forecasts yield a A$46.58 fair value, a 19% downside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesASX:MIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart Some of the lowest ranked analysts were expecting revenue to fall about 6 percent a year and no profits within three years, so this profit rebound may challenge that more pessimistic view and is a good reminder that your own outlook can differ sharply from theirs.Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Mineral Resources - why the stock might be worth as much as 58% more than the current price!Reach Your Own ConclusionDisagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.A great starting point for your Mineral Resources research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.Our free Mineral Resources research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Mineral Resources' overall financial health at a glance.Contemplating Other Strategies?These stocks are moving-our analysis flagged them today. Act fast before the price catches up:Find 7 companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.The future of work is here. Discover the 33 top robotics and automation stocks leading the charge in AI-driven automation and industrial transformation.The latest GPUs need a type of rare earth metal called Neodymium and there are only 30 companies in the world exploring or producing it. Find the list for free.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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