Is Johnson Controls International (JCI) Still Attractive After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?

Simply Wall St.03-04

If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International is priced attractively right now, it helps to step back and look at both its recent share performance and how that lines up with different ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2616258917?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/282590-main-header/1756206019351","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-03-04 14:24","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2616258917","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Is Johnson Controls International (JCI) Still Attractive After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International is priced attractively right now, it helps to step back and look at both its recent share performance and how that lines up with different ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-still-attractive-after\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Johnson Controls International (JCI) Still Attractive After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Johnson Controls International (JCI) Still Attractive After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-04 14:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-still-attractive-after><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International is priced attractively right now, it helps to step back and look at both its recent share performance and how that lines up with different ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-still-attractive-after\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4585","symbol_name":"ETF&股票定投概念","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-still-attractive-after","article_id":"2616258917","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/282590-main-header/1756206019351"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-jci/johnson-controls-international/news/is-johnson-controls-international-jci-still-attractive-after","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2616258917","pubTimestamp":1772605489,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International is priced attractively right now, it helps to step back and look at both its recent share performance and how that lines up with different valuation yardsticks.\nThe stock most recently closed at US$139.58, with a 3.5% decline over the last 7 days, a 17.0% gain over 30 days, a 14.1% return year to date, and returns of 75.2% over 1 year, 127.9% over 3 years, and 161.2% over 5 years.\nRecent share price moves have come alongside ongoing...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1989772923.USD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc USD-H","LU0211331839.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLB DISCOVERY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1989764664.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","LU1989764748.USD":"东方汇理环球颠覆性机遇A2 Acc","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU1854104046.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4086":"建筑产品","LU0124384867.USD":"贝莱德新能源基金A2","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","IE00B3T34201.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"B\" (USD) INC","BK4588":"碎股","LU1978683503.SGD":"Blackrock Sustainable Energy A2 SGD-H","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","JCI":"江森自控","LU1854103824.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4580":"工业 4.0","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","LU1989772840.SGD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc SGD-H"},"translate_title":"江森自控国际(JCI)在经历多年强劲的股价上涨后仍然具有吸引力吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"JCI":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Johnson Controls International is priced attractively right now, it helps to step back and look at both its recent share performance and how that lines up with different valuation yardsticks. The stock most recently closed at US$139.58, with a 3.5% decline over the last 7 days, a 17.0% gain over 30 days, a 14.1% return year to date, and returns of 75.2% over 1 year, 127.9% over 3 years, and 161.2% over 5 years. Recent share price moves have come alongside ongoing investor interest in building automation, energy efficiency, and smart infrastructure solutions, which keeps Johnson Controls on many watchlists. These themes help explain why the stock has attracted attention even when day to day moves are mixed. Right now, Johnson Controls International scores 0 out of 6 on our valuation checks. You can see the full breakdown in our valuation score. Next we will unpack the usual valuation approaches used for the stock and then finish with a more comprehensive way to think about what it could be worth.  Johnson Controls International scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Johnson Controls International Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them back to today’s dollars. It is essentially asking what you would pay now for all the cash the business might generate in the future. For Johnson Controls International, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $1.23b. Analysts and extrapolated estimates point to free cash flow of $4.13b by 2029, with a set of projections running out to 2035. Simply Wall St converts these annual figures into today’s money using a discount rate and sums them to reach an estimated intrinsic value per share. On this basis, the DCF estimate for Johnson Controls International is US$114.73 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$139.58, the model implies the stock is about 21.7% above this estimate, which flags it as looking expensive on this specific cash flow view. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Johnson Controls International may be overvalued by 21.7%. Discover 49 high quality undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. JCI Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Johnson Controls International. Approach 2: Johnson Controls International Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand because it links what you pay for each share to the earnings that company is currently generating. It is popular with investors because it connects directly to the bottom line, which is easier to compare across time and between businesses. What counts as a “normal” or “fair” P/E often reflects how the market views a company’s growth outlook and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk usually lines up with a lower multiple. Johnson Controls International is trading on a P/E of 44.66x. That sits above the Building industry average of 23.00x and also above the peer average of 28.45x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for the stock is 43.01x, which is its proprietary estimate of what the P/E “should” be after considering factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and company specific risks. The Fair Ratio approach can be more informative than a straight comparison with peers or the industry because it adjusts for those company specific characteristics rather than assuming one size fits all. With the current P/E of 44.66x versus a Fair Ratio of 43.01x, Johnson Controls International screens as slightly expensive on this metric. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:JCI P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 18 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Johnson Controls International Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Let us introduce you to Narratives, which are simple story driven forecasts where you set out your view of Johnson Controls International’s future revenue, earnings, margins and fair value. You can then see how that stacks up against the current price on Simply Wall St’s Community page and watch it refresh as new news or earnings land. For example, one investor might build a bullish Johnson Controls International Narrative that leans toward a higher fair value such as US$170.00, with assumptions like 7.34% revenue growth, a 13.57% profit margin and a future P/E of 27.20x. Another investor might lean on a more cautious Johnson Controls International Narrative closer to US$82.49, with assumptions like 3.50% revenue growth, a 12.79% profit margin and a future P/E of 20.38x. By comparing those fair values to the live share price, you can decide whether the stock looks attractive or stretched based on the story you actually believe. For Johnson Controls International, here are previews of two leading Johnson Controls International Narratives to make comparison easier: 🐂 Johnson Controls International Bull Case Fair value in this bullish narrative: US$170.00 per share Implied pricing gap vs last close: around 17.9% above this fair value Revenue growth assumption: 7.34% a year  Leans on a long runway for smart, sustainable building solutions and data center cooling, with OpenBlue and the broader automation portfolio central to the story. Assumes Lean practices, margin expansion and strong cash generation support higher earnings, capital returns and room for continued M&A. Highlights execution, technology and geopolitical risks that could pressure margins or slow the shift toward higher margin, software and service revenue.  🐻 Johnson Controls International Bear Case Fair value in this more cautious narrative: about US$138.11 per share Implied pricing gap vs last close: roughly 1.1% above this fair value Revenue growth assumption: 5.56% a year  Builds around analyst consensus that sees solid growth from the new organizational model, Lean adoption and service attachment, but with less headroom between price and fair value. Frames backlog, York HVAC and Metasys automation as important drivers for revenue and margins, while assuming more moderate improvement than the bullish view. Flags product complexity, restructuring, competition in data center cooling and reliance on pricing and Lean execution as key reasons the stock could struggle to justify a materially higher valuation.  Taken together, these narratives provide two clear reference points around the current share price. You can compare which set of assumptions feels closer to your own view on Johnson Controls International, and then build or adjust your own narrative on Simply Wall St to see how your fair value compares. Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives Do you think there's more to the story for Johnson Controls International? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:JCI 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2616258917","isCrawlerRequest":true}