Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness And Premium P/E Multiple

Simply Wall St.03-10

AdvertisementHow Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Has Been Trading Recently Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) has seen mixed share performance, with a 1 day return of about a 1% decline and a 7 day move of roughly a 4% decline,...

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Over the past 3 months the stock shows about an 8% decline and the year to date return is roughly a 7% decline, with the 1 year total return around a 20% decline for investors holding through that period. See our latest analysis for Ferrari. At a share price of US$346.58, Ferrari has recently moved lower over the week and quarter, while its 1 year total shareholder return sits in negative territory. However, the 3 and 5 year total shareholder returns remain positive, which points to fading short term momentum alongside a still constructive longer term record. If Ferrari’s recent pullback has you considering other opportunities in high end engineering and performance, you might want to check out our screener of 29 robotics and automation stocks as a starting point for fresh ideas. With Ferrari stock down about 20% over the past year but trading around US$346.58 against an average analyst target near US$436, you have to ask yourself: is this a mispriced icon, or is the market already baking in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 19.7% Undervalued Ferrari’s most followed narrative points to a fair value of about $431.54, which sits well above the last close near $346.58, and builds that view off detailed revenue, margin and valuation assumptions.  The launch of six new models in 2025, including the anticipation of the Ferrari full electric, is likely to drive revenue growth, capturing both existing and new customers while expanding Ferrari's electrification journey. Investment in lifestyle activities and brand enhancement, alongside new racing sponsorships, is intended to foster brand visibility and engagement, contributing to revenue growth and maintaining high profitability margins.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how those new models, margins and future earnings all combine into that higher fair value? The narrative leans on specific growth, profitability and valuation assumptions that might surprise you. Result: Fair Value of $431.54 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that upside story could be challenged if the 6 planned 2025 model launches dilute Ferrari’s exclusivity, or if ongoing supply chain issues pressure costs and margins. Find out about the key risks to this Ferrari narrative. Another Way To Look At Ferrari’s Valuation That 19.7% undervalued story from the narrative presents a very different picture when you look at the current P/E. At about 32.7x earnings, Ferrari trades well above the Global Auto sector near 18.9x and a fair ratio of 20.8x, which signals a rich price rather than a discount. So is this a premium worth paying, or a lot of expectation packed into one name? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:RACE P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026Next Steps Does this all sound too optimistic or too cautious to you? Put the numbers in context for yourself, act while the data is fresh, and weigh 3 key rewards against your own expectations for Ferrari. Looking for more investment ideas? If Ferrari has sharpened your focus on quality, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with other ideas that could suit your style and risk comfort.  Target dependable cash generators by scanning our list of 46 high quality undervalued stocks that pair quality fundamentals with prices that look more modest than peers. Prioritise resilience by reviewing 63 resilient stocks with low risk scores, where companies show steadier risk profiles that may appeal if you want fewer surprises. Hunt for potential future favourites using the screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems that highlight lesser known names with solid underlying metrics.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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