Bitcoin's Goliath Moment?

Benzinga03-16 22:46

Geopolitical tensions continue to escalate, wreaking havoc on markets… but Bitcoin emerges king.War Heats UpSince war broke out 16 days ago, geopolitical tension has seemed to only escalate with each ...

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This has started to cause an increasing degree of volatility in financial markets, as well.Given the location of the war, oil has become front and center. As geopolitical concerns ramp up, so does the price of oil.As the price of oil continues to move higher, stock market volatility does as well (with a strong correlation). Tension up = Oil up = VIX up = Equities down.\n\nNot only that, but this move in oil has also driven the bond market lower, too. As oil is a critical component to nearly all of modern life, higher energy prices feed into all facets of modern life.Remember, bond yields move inversely to the price of the bond. As US Treasury yields climb (due to higher energy prices causing higher inflation), that means that US Treasury prices are moving lower.\n\nSo, to recap: the war has driven oil higher, bonds lower and the all-important stock market, lower.What's Going Up?One would think that gold would be driven much higher on the escalating geopolitical tensions, but this is not actually what we've seen. Since the war broke out on February 28th, gold has actually gone down (by -7%).This curious move lower in gold can be explained by two clear forces:\nHigher interest rates make holding US Treasuries (relatively) more appealing, as gold has no interest associated with it\nA stronger dollar (due to a safe haven bid and higher rates) generally pressures assets like gold\n…and, you'd think it would pressure Bitcoin too. But it hasn't.Bitcoin's Goliath Moment?As the dollar has strengthened, bitcoin has moved higher alongside it. This is certainly paradoxical, but thinking it through, it makes perfect sense:-As GCC countries face increasing Iranian bombardment, people and their capital flee. We've seen reports of capital controls emerging in GCC countries with banks allegedly blocking wire transfers. We've also seen things like the Dubai real estate have a third of its value simply vanish in a matter of days. What would you do if you were trying to flee war and take your wealth with you?\n\n-Rising oil prices, like we're seeing in the Middle East, are causing disruption to supply chains and can/will fuel global inflation concerns. As energy costs permeate economies, this will further erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies and drive demand for scarce assets like bitcoin.In this environment, Bitcoin emerges as a potential hedge against inflation due not only to its hard-capped supply of 21 million coin (which contrasts with central banks’ ability to print unlimited money to combat economic slowdowns caused by higher energy costs), but also due to investors fleeing traditional assets amid uncertainty.Bitcoin, with its decentralized nature, borderless liquidity, and historical performance during inflationary periods, such as the post-2020 surge, emerges as a near perfect store of wealth in turbulent times like we see today.And the market agrees:-Bitcoin has outperformed gold by a whopping 18%-Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500 by 16%\n\nIs this bitcoin's time to shine?Thanks for reading! Catch you in the next one! WANT MORE WOLF? Follow us on YouTubeBenzinga Disclaimer: This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga’s reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.To add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2619464570","isCrawlerRequest":true}