Is Hercules Capital (HTGC) Pricing Offer An Opportunity After Recent Share Price Weakness?

Simply Wall St.03-19

If you are wondering whether Hercules Capital's share price reflects its true worth, the recent mix of returns gives you plenty to think about before making any long term decisions. The stock closed ...

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The stock closed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/is-hercules-capital-htgc-pricing-offer-an-opportunity-after\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Hercules Capital (HTGC) Pricing Offer An Opportunity After Recent Share Price Weakness?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Hercules Capital (HTGC) Pricing Offer An Opportunity After Recent Share Price Weakness?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-19 10:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/is-hercules-capital-htgc-pricing-offer-an-opportunity-after><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Hercules Capital's share price reflects its true worth, the recent mix of returns gives you plenty to think about before making any long term decisions. The stock closed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/is-hercules-capital-htgc-pricing-offer-an-opportunity-after\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"HTGC","symbol_name":"海格投资","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/is-hercules-capital-htgc-pricing-offer-an-opportunity-after","article_id":"2620218889","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/7131000-choice1-main-header/1585186655666"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/is-hercules-capital-htgc-pricing-offer-an-opportunity-after","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2620218889","pubTimestamp":1773885827,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Hercules Capital's share price reflects its true worth, the recent mix of returns gives you plenty to think about before making any long term decisions.\nThe stock closed at US$14.46 after a 0.7% gain over the past week, set against a 7.2% decline over 30 days, a 23.3% decline year to date, and a 15.1% decline over 1 year. Over longer periods, the 3 year and 5 year returns sit at 65.0% and 60.9% respectively.\nRecent coverage has focused on Hercules Capital's share...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"HTGC":"海格投资","BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行"},"translate_title":"近期股价疲软后，Hercules Capital(HTGC)的定价要约是否是一个机会？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"HTGC":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Hercules Capital's share price reflects its true worth, the recent mix of returns gives you plenty to think about before making any long term decisions. The stock closed at US$14.46 after a 0.7% gain over the past week, set against a 7.2% decline over 30 days, a 23.3% decline year to date, and a 15.1% decline over 1 year. Over longer periods, the 3 year and 5 year returns sit at 65.0% and 60.9% respectively. Recent coverage has focused on Hercules Capital's share price performance and how it compares to broader capital markets peers, as well as what this means for income focused investors watching its dividend profile. Together, these updates help frame whether the current price weakness reflects changing risk perceptions or simply a reset after earlier gains. Hercules Capital currently holds a valuation score of 5 out of 6, which suggests several checks flag the shares as potentially undervalued. The sections that follow will compare different valuation approaches while hinting at a fuller way to think about value that ties everything together at the end of the article.  Find out why Hercules Capital's -15.1% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Hercules Capital Excess Returns Analysis The Excess Returns model looks at how much profit Hercules Capital can generate above the return that shareholders are assumed to require, then capitalizes those surplus profits into an intrinsic value per share. For Hercules Capital, the model uses a Book Value of US$12.28 per share and a Stable EPS of US$1.84 per share, based on weighted future Return on Equity estimates from 4 analysts. The implied Cost of Equity is US$1.08 per share, which leads to an Excess Return of US$0.76 per share. The Average Return on Equity is 15.89%, compared with a Stable Book Value of US$11.59 per share, sourced from the median Book Value over the past 5 years. Taken together, these inputs support an intrinsic value estimate of about US$24.35 per share under the Excess Returns framework. When compared with the recent share price of US$14.46, this points to an implied discount of around 40.6%, which indicates that Hercules Capital stock appears materially undervalued under this model. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Hercules Capital is undervalued by 40.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 49 more high quality undervalued stocks. HTGC Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Hercules Capital. Approach 2: Hercules Capital Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand for how much you are paying for each dollar of earnings. This makes it a practical way to compare opportunities across the Capital Markets industry. What counts as a “normal” P/E often reflects how quickly earnings are expected to grow and how risky those earnings appear, with higher growth and lower perceived risk usually supporting higher multiples. Hercules Capital currently trades on a P/E of 7.79x. This sits below both the peer group average of 15.57x and the broader Capital Markets industry average P/E of 25.82x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” of 11.90x for Hercules Capital, which is the P/E level that would typically be expected given factors such as its earnings profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the industry. It adjusts for Hercules Capital’s own growth outlook, risk, profitability, sector and size rather than assuming one multiple fits all. Set against the Fair Ratio of 11.90x, the current P/E of 7.79x suggests Hercules Capital trades at a discount on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:HTGC P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Hercules Capital Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives bring that to life by letting you attach a clear story about Hercules Capital to your own numbers, such as fair value, and estimates for future revenue, earnings and margins. You can then link that story to a financial forecast and finally to a fair value that can be compared with the current share price. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are available as a simple tool used by millions of investors, helping you see how your view of Hercules Capital compares with others and how that view translates into a Fair Value versus Price gap that may guide when you choose to buy or sell. Narratives also refresh as new information such as news, earnings or updated analyst assumptions comes in, so your Hercules Capital view does not stay static. Different investors can sit anywhere between the more optimistic fair value around US$24.90 and the more cautious view around US$16.00, depending on how they weigh factors like venture debt demand, competition, credit risk and future P/E assumptions. Do you think there's more to the story for Hercules Capital? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:HTGC 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Hercules Capital might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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