0745 GMT - Aluminum could be entering a multiyear cycle of higher prices, say DBS Group Research's Tina Hu and Eun Young Lee in a note. The Chinese aluminum industry is reaching a capacity ceiling and might be unable to meet higher demand, the analysts say. Power costs and environmental constraints could weigh on supply expansion. The Middle East conflict is also intensifying tightness, they add, noting that Gulf smelters make up around 9% of global aluminum supply. Prolonged disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz could cause additional production cuts and push aluminum toward $4,000 a metric ton, they add. The three-month aluminum contract on the London Metal Exchange falls 0.5% to $3,225 a ton. DBS pegs China Hongqiao as its top pick, citing its resilient supply chain and local smelting capabilities. (megan.cheah@wsj.com)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 26, 2026 03:45 ET (07:45 GMT)
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