Assessing Haidilao International Holding’s Valuation After Recent Share Price Volatility

Simply Wall St.03-28

AdvertisementRecent share performance and business context Haidilao International Holding (SEHK:6862) has drawn attention after a 4.9% move over the past day, set against weaker returns over the past ...

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For context, the company runs Haidilao branded hot pot restaurants and related delivery and condiment businesses across Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, supported by hotel, property and trading activities. See our latest analysis for Haidilao International Holding. That sharp 1-day share price return of 4.89% at HK$14.59 comes after weaker recent momentum, including a 30-day share price return of 16.68% decline and a 1-year total shareholder return of 14.27% decline. As a result, recent gains still sit within a longer period of softer performance as investors reassess growth potential and risk. If Haidilao’s swings have you thinking about diversification, this could be a good moment to scan other areas of the market and check out 95 top founder-led companies With Haidilao’s shares still showing weaker 1 year and multi year returns despite recent revenue and net income growth, and trading below some analyst targets and intrinsic estimates, are you looking at a potential opportunity or a market that is already pricing in future growth? Preferred P/E of 17.7x: Is it justified? Based on the current P/E of 17.7x, Haidilao screens as more expensive than the Hong Kong hospitality industry average but still below the peer group average, which sets up a mixed picture at HK$14.59. The P/E multiple compares the company’s share price with its earnings per share. For a business like Haidilao it reflects what the market is currently willing to pay for each unit of reported profit in a sector where earnings quality and growth expectations matter. Haidilao trades on a higher P/E than the Hong Kong hospitality industry average of 14.3x and above an estimated fair P/E of 15.4x. However, it sits below the peer average of 23.3x. This points to the market assigning a premium relative to the wider industry while not pricing it as aggressively as closer peers. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Haidilao International Holding Result: Preferred multiple of Price-to-Earnings of 17.7x (OVERVALUED) However, risks remain, including negative 1-year and 3-year total returns and heavy revenue reliance on Mainland China, which could keep sentiment cautious. Find out about the key risks to this Haidilao International Holding narrative. Another view: DCF suggests upside at current price While the P/E of 17.7x makes Haidilao look expensive against the Hong Kong hospitality average and its own fair ratio of 15.4x, the SWS DCF model points the other way, with a fair value of HK$19.73 versus the current HK$14.59, implying the shares trade at a discount. Which signal do you weigh more heavily? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 6862 Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Haidilao International Holding for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 238 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps The mix of signals around Haidilao can feel conflicting, so it helps to review the numbers yourself and decide what carries more weight. To see the balance of concerns and positives in one place, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas? If Haidilao has sharpened your interest in valuations and risk, do not stop here. Broadening your watchlist can help you spot opportunities others skip.  Target potential mispricing by checking companies that screen as 238 high quality undervalued stocks before the rest of the market pays closer attention. Strengthen the quality of your holdings by focusing on businesses from the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (381 results) that prioritise financial resilience. Spot underfollowed opportunities early by reviewing the screener containing 592 high quality undiscovered gems that combine strong fundamentals with lower market attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Haidilao International Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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