随着中东地区持续的导弹袭击令停火前景蒙上阴影,并推动油价升至每桶110美元以上,新兴市场股票和货币势将连续第四周下跌。
MSCI股票指数下跌0.8%,其中亚洲股市领跌;新兴市场货币指数则下跌0.4%。随着投资者争相买入美元,这两个市场均势将录得自11月以来的首次月度下跌。美元周五上涨0.2%,有望实现自10月以来的首次月度上涨。印度卢比、墨西哥比索和匈牙利福林的表现逊于同类货币。
中东局势最新进展显示,在美以两国袭击伊朗两家最大钢铁制造商后,伊朗表示以色列及海湾其他国家的钢铁厂现已成为合法军事目标。
“我最担心的是局势会升级为更严峻的局面,”Aegon Asset Management美国跨资产及新兴市场债务主管Jeff Grills表示。“如果石油生产或运输受到实质性干扰,这对新兴市场而言将构成重大风险。”
责任编辑:何云
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